Part 253: It’s a Trap!

Hello and welcome back to Mortgage Advisor on FIRE.  This week I discuss paying for TempFI.  Also, some major updates and progress regarding my BTL sale.  Finally, a few ways you can help support the site.

Weekly Update

Walks

On the bank holiday Monday, we went for a walk up a hill near to us.  It’s a walk we’ve done before which takes a couple of hours and it’s nice and peaceful.  We normally see a few dozen people along the route but it was strangely quiet this time as we encountered less than five other people.  It was refreshing being out in the fresh air and I need to give a shoutout to the amazing bagel Oana packed for me; sesame seed bagel, Emmental cheese, ham, red onion, and mustard.  I could have eaten a hundred.

We had another walk after work on Friday going around some of the old streets in, and around, Kelham Island and the city centre.  When you stop and look at the old buildings there are so many details that can easily go unnoticed.  We also paid a visit back to where Oana had her accident a few weeks ago.  A solicitor is considering taking the case on and they needed some more evidence.  We took some more photos and videos of the area to show just how bad the hole in the ground is.    

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Poutine

On Wednesday Oana and I went for an impromptu meal at a local place that does Poutine.  I fucking love Poutine.  It’s fries, cheese curds, gravy, and can be complemented with other bits and pieces.  The version I had also came with candied bacon, BBQ shredded chicken, sour cream, and paprika.  It was great.  This was my treat for eating well for a few days, and there’s nothing wrong with a cheat meal here and there.  

Oana had a fried chicken burger but it tasted a bit weird.  It was one of those where the fried chicken batter pulled away from the chicken completely.  It had an almost soapy aftertaste.  I would go back for the Poutine but I would avoid the burgers.

Psychologist

I also had another session with my psychologist this week.  She’s been great and I owe much of my improved mental health to her efforts and support.  I had low expectations going in, because of previous experiences with therapists, but she has been amazing.

“It’s a Trap!”

“When a Targaryen is born, the gods flip a coin. One side greatness, the other madness.”

The above quote could easily apply to the films of M. Night Shyamalan.  For every Signs, there’s The Happening.  For every The Sixth Sense, there is Trap.

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On Saturday evening we took advantage of some cheap cinema tickets to go and see the new MNS film, Trap.  The concept seemed interesting in that a concert takes place to trap a serial killer.  The execution was lacking.  As the film went on it became increasingly, unintentionally, funny.  Somewhere in this film is a great idea, but it just wasn’t enough to support a whole film.  

Gousto and Hello Fresh

We’ve recently signed back up with these meal delivery companies.  Now that I’ll have more time to spend cooking, we thought we’d start trying some new recipes.  If you’d like to sign up and want to use my referral codes we will both receive discounts.

Gousto:

www.gousto.co.uk/raf/?promo_code=DAVID44749879

Hello Fresh:

https://www.hellofresh.co.uk/freebox/RGF2aWQtMjcyNjI2NjAxLTAtNC0xMS1HQg

Diabetes

For the last few weeks, I’ve been monitoring my blood sugar levels more closely.  I’m trying to only eat when my levels are below a certain point and to be more active when they are above a certain point.  It’s been difficult but I’m getting into a new routine.  It’s also helped with my night eating, which I’ve struggled with for a few years.  At night I would wake up and feel like I needed food, so I’d go to the kitchen and get something.  I’ve hardly done that since monitoring my blood sugar.  

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Since starting this new routine I’ve lost 3kg.  I want to get into decent shape in time for our cruise next year, and I’ve got ten months or so to achieve that.  

The only annoying part of all this is having to stab myself with a small needle several times a day.  There are other types of continuous monitors available but they cost a small fortune and need replacing after just a few weeks.

I have now crossed the 500,000 steps mark in my Diabetes UK Step Challenge.  If you’d like to donate to this charity challenge, you can visit my page here or on the link below.

Diabetes UK Step Challenge

From July 1st until September 30th Diabetes UK is running a step challenge to raise money for their cause.  There are three step targets to choose from; 500k, 1m, or 1.7m.  I had originally gone for the 1.7m steps, but it’s become clear I’ve bitten off more than I can chew.  I’m now aiming for the 1m target.  

If you’d like to follow my progress or make a donation, it can be done here.

https://step.diabetes.org.uk/fundraising/david4047

Letters to Oana

If you missed it, Part 2 of the series Letters to Oana is now live.

Looking Back

Part 15 of the Looking Back series is also live.

What I’m Doing

Listening: The Dark Spring by Brandon Q. Morris.

Watching: Celebrity MasterChef.

I’ve got just one more book to go in the Brandon Q. Morris Solar System series.  It’s been a mixed bag with some real highs and lows.  I would read other books by the author, but I’m not sure I’d commit to a lengthy series by him again.  I’m one of those people who, if I start a book, film, show, etc, I have to finish it once I get into it, even if it’s awful.

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Website Stuff

It’s getting to that time of year when I need to pay to renew my domain and plan with my site host.  I will probably never make money from this blog but I would like to reduce what it costs me to run.  There are a couple of ways you can help and it will not cost you anything.

Sharing

If you share my blog posts on your social media you are helping me get more traffic.  The more traffic I get, the more ads the site serves, and the more ads served the more revenue I get.  It’s a few seconds of your time, but it will make a big difference for me.

Interactions

Liking and commenting on posts will help boost the site and attract more traffic.  

Subscribe

You can sign up to receive emails when I publish a new post.  

Donations

This is the one that involves paying something.  I’ll never put the site behind a paywall.  However, should you wish to donate to the running costs of the site it would be greatly appreciated.  You can do this via the form below.  You can select one of the suggested amounts or choose your own.

Supporting Mortgage Advisor on FIRE

Financial Update

Assets

Premium Bonds: £14,050.00.

Stocks and Shares ISA: £79,066.77.

Fuck It Fund: £596.75.

Pensions: £83,009.27.

Residential Property Value: £234,044.00. 

BTL Property Value: £151,029.00.

Total Assets: £561,795.79.

Debts

Residential Mortgage: £185,958.33. 

BTL Mortgage: £104,787.85.

Total Debts: £290,746.18.

Total Wealth: £271,049.61.

This may be the last part of the blog where I have my BTL figures included, as I have a major update on the sale below.

My pension has been growing nicely for a while now and I’m going to have an important decision to make when I leave my job at the end of the year.  My pension pot is split between my SIPP and my workplace pension.  I need to decide whether the leave the workplace pension where it is or to move it to a provider of my choosing. 

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There are pros and cons to each approach.  The fees will be higher if I move the workplace pension but I will have more choice in terms of possible investment funds.  I’m leaning more towards moving the pension, but I need to do some more research on it.  

BTL Update

You may remember that we set a deadline for this deal, whereby we had to have a completion date in place by the 30th of August.  Well, it seems as though our pressure paid off as we agreed on a completion date of the 29th.  The sale is now scheduled to be completed this coming week.  It’s been a long road getting from there to here, and I can’t believe I just typed out that song lyric.  

Anyway, it has taken a long time to get this deal sorted and I’ll be glad to wash my hands of the property.  BTL is not for me, and I’ll relax once I see the money hit my account.  I hope the property brings happiness to the new owners, but they’ve dragged this whole process out.

On Friday we went to the solicitors to sign the contracts.  The exchange of contracts should take place early next week and completion is pencilled in for September 4th.  

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When the money comes through I’m planning to max out my ISA for the year, and I should have a few thousand left over.  I may treat myself to some more Lego, like the Titanic or Millenium Falcon.  One thing is for sure, there will be a celebration.

Funding TempFI

£1,500.  That’s what I need to have a comfortable time and to pay my bills each month once I leave work.  I plan to take almost nine months off; mid-December through to August (I’ll start looking for another job at the start of July).  To cover this period I’ll need £13,500, which I’ll round up to £14,000 to account for Christmas.  

I have a few sources of income to take into consideration.  I’ll receive two dividends from stock I own during this time, which will bring in approximately £1,500.  I’ll also receive an end-of-year dividend from a fund I invest in.  This will likely be at least £1,200.  I’m also going to receive some free shares which I will sell immediately.  Assuming no major changes in the share price, this will bring in approximately £2,500.  So, between these payments, I’m up to £5,200.

In addition to the above payments, I’ll also receive a monthly dividend from one of my investment funds.  This pays £250 each month.  Eight months of this payment brings in another £2,000.  So, between all those payments I’m over halfway to covering my day-to-day costs.  

During this period away from paid employment I will be spending more time writing.  There are things that my readers can do to help.  The more support I get, the more content I can produce.  Here are a few thoughts on supporting this site:

Your Engagement Matters

Standing out requires more than just quality – it needs a community. If you’re reading this, you’re already a part of mine, and I couldn’t be more grateful. But today, I’m asking for your help to take my platform to the next level. Here’s why your support matters and how you can make a real difference.

Why Your Support Matters

Running a site like this isn’t just about creating content.  it’s about building a space where a community can grow. None of this happens in a vacuum; I’m a real person behind this site. I’m working hard to bring you fresh, engaging content that adds value to your life.  Every click, share, and comment you make isn’t just engagement; it’s the power that keeps the lights of Mortgage Advisor on FIRE running.

The Impact of Traffic

Traffic is the lifeblood of any online platform. The more visitors I have, the more resources I can dedicate to improving the content, design, and features. If you find value in what I’m doing, please take a moment to share my posts with your friends, family, and followers. Whether it’s through social media, email, or even word of mouth, every bit of traffic helps me grow and reach more people who might benefit from what I offer.

Why Sharing Matters

When you share my posts, you’re not just spreading the word.  You are growing the community. You’re helping me reach people who may not have found this site otherwise. Plus, shares are a signal to search engines that my content is worth reading, which in turn boosts my visibility. So, if something resonates with you, don’t keep it to yourself.  Please spread the word.

The Impact of Comments and Interaction

I try to respond to every comment I receive in good time.  Comments are a great boost to me because it shows people are reading and engaging with what I have to say.  When you engage with my posts, you’re helping to create a vibrant, dynamic community.  When you leave a comment on my blog, you are signalling to others that this content is worth sticking around for. 

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Future Career

Assuming that I don’t make millions from this site and my other writing projects, I’ll need to find another job eventually.  I don’t think I am suited for customer interaction.  It’s mentally exhausting.  I know that what I’m about to say is not actually possible, but it’s the best way I can easily explain it.  As I get older I feel I’m becoming more autistic, or that I’m becoming more aware of what I can comfortably tolerate without draining my mental resources to breaking point.  

I will need something that allows me to work on my own, and without having to discuss things over the phone with people.  Some sort of administrative role, or perhaps being involved in some project or data work.  Between my work as a mortgage advisor, a banking consultant, a claims assessor in the health insurance industry, and an assortment of retail/customer service jobs when I was younger, I’ve done over twenty years of employment with the general public.  For an autistic person, it’s difficult.

That’s all for this week.  Thank you for reading, and I hope you have a great week ahead.  

Disclaimer

The views and opinions in this blog are my own, and do not represent the views or opinions of my employer, nor should they be considered advice.  

If you want personalised financial advice, seek an appropriate professional.  If you are in financial difficulty, seek advice via the resources below:

StepChange

MoneyHelper

Biolink 

You can now find all my social media pages by checking out my Biolink:

bio.link/davidscothern.

Part 252: Exciting Times – TempFI

Hello and welcome back to Mortgage Advisor on FIRE.  This week I have exciting news, which you will find below.  Also, thoughts on the recent Kiefer Sutherland concert, and yet more frustrating interactions with the agent selling our BTL.  

Weekly Update

On Monday we went to see Kiefer Sutherland for the third time.  The previous times he has put on a cracking show but although this was still a good performance there seemed to be an issue with the sound.  It was not as sharp or crisp, almost slightly muffled.  

The gig was in danger of being ruined by the dipshittery of other people.  The location of the gig, The Leadmill, is a small venue that’s almost entirely standing room only on a single level.  Unless you are very tall, your view is going to be blocked to some degree. 

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Many people were filming or taking photos on their phones; it’s what people do now.  Oana was filming a clip of a song she likes and I was standing by her side when a guy marched up behind her.  He grabbed her and shouted, “Excuse me, will you stop filming as you’re blocking my view.”

I didn’t react positively to this.

Oana was stunned and I started shouting at this guy to back the fuck up and shut his mouth.  I stared him down as he backed off and then went back to make sure Oana was ok.  I don’t generally like confrontation, but sometimes you have to stand your ground.  When I looked around there were a few dozen phones in the air being used to record.  I don’t think this guy realised I was with Oana, and he probably wouldn’t have said anything to another man.  

Edit: someone commented that it’s weird I don’t understand why people backed off after this. I do understand. It’s just annoying that I’m made out to be the bad guy for standing up for my girlfriend when another guy put hands on her. Bizarre that anyone would think I reacted inappropriately.

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It took the shine off a great night…

It took a while for the adrenaline to wear off but the annoying thing was everyone gave us a wide berth following that interaction, almost as though they were scared of us.  For somewhere that was almost shoulder to shoulder, we had a good meter or so of space around us.

The thing about these types of events is that no one has a good view.  Everyone is standing at the same level with the stage raised.  I don’t know what the guy was expecting because he wasn’t the tallest guy in the crowd and he was quite far back.  

I’m not sure I would go back to see Kiefer again.  I’ve seen him three times now and it’s not as though the tickets are cheap.  These cost £35ish each and the venue isn’t the best.  If he comes back to a different venue I might consider it.  In December we will be going to see Kygo in London, which we are both excited for.  

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On Saturday we went into the city centre to look at a new space that’s open for independent retailers and artists.  It was a nice atmosphere but quite busy, so we didn’t hang around too long.  We then went for food at a new(ish) place that does fried chicken.  This was my first little treat since I started my health kick, and we had a chicken burger each and a few chicken tenders.  It was nice but very messy.

Exciting News

I mentioned last week that I was waiting on some exciting news that could be life changing.  Well, I got the outcome I wanted.  From December I will be leaving my job as a mortgage advisor and taking a mini-retirement.  

It’s going to be strange leaving the job I’ve done for over thirteen years, and I’m going to miss the day-to-day interactions with my friends and colleagues.  It’s the right time though.  I’ve felt like I needed a new challenge for a long time, and the timing here is ideal.  I plan to take time off until the second half of 2025 and I’m going to use those free months to work on a few projects.  I’ll talk more about those ideas in the coming weeks and months, but for now I’m concentrating on seeing out my remaining time in this role as professionally as possible.

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I am referring to this time as TempFI; a short break from work before I seek other employment.  It could be argued that I’m in the final stages of FI as I’m nearly at the point where I’ve got enough invested to see me through to when I can draw my private pensions.  I would rather work a little longer though, and build a bit more in my pension pot.

Although I plan to take several months off, the reality is I may end up taking on some temporary or part-time work if I get bored.  The great thing is I have options.

Upcoming Projects

I’ve been thinking for a while that I want to write a book.  I’ve made lots of notes and think I’ve got a decent concept for an entertaining read.  I’m not going to say much about the specifics until I’m much further into the project.  

I also want to develop some new skills that might help me when I look for a new job.  I had looked at doing some more studying but the cost of courses is just way too high.  I’d love to study astronomy or astrophysics but I don’t want to spend over £10k to do it.  Maybe if I was twenty years younger, but not now when I’m so close to FI.  

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When I start to look for another job it’s going to be a strange experience, and I’m going to be stepping outside my comfort zone.  My main priority will be getting a job that does not involve customer contact.  I need a role where I can just get stuck into a project or task and be left to it.  I’ve only lasted so long in this job because I understand the script, as it were.  

I know the subject matter and I can mask to get through the working day.  The stress of entering another business combined with dealing with their customers might just be too much for me to cope with, especially when my mental defences are not what they used to be. 

Health and Diabetes

I’ve been making decent progress on my Diabetes step challenge.  I’ve still got the rest of August and the whole of September, of which I’m on holiday for most of the month, to build up my steps.  I should get to 1,000,000 well before the deadline.

In the last couple of weeks I’ve been monitoring my blood sugar levels more closely.  After my scare a couple of weeks back when I was told I was at increased risk of stroke or heart attack, I realised I needed to do something. 

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Calorie counting never really works for me so I just figured I’d keep an eye on my blood sugar and only eat when it’s low enough.  If it’s too high I do something to help bring it back down, like drinking plenty of water and trying to do a little exercise.

The result of my efforts is that I’ve lost 2.6kg in the last couple of weeks.  I still have a way to go though.

Diabetes UK Step Challenge

From July 1st until September 30th Diabetes UK is running a step challenge to raise money for their cause.  There are three step targets to choose from; 500k, 1m, or 1.7m.  I originally went for the 1.7m steps, but it’s become clear I’ve bitten off more than I can chew.  I’m now aiming for the 1m target.  

If you’d like to follow my progress or make a donation, it can be done here.

Letters to Oana

If you missed it, Part 2 of the series Letters to Oana is now live.

Looking Back

Part 15 of the Looking Back series is also live.

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What I’m Doing

Listening: The Dark Spring by Brandon Q. Morris.

Watching: Celebrity MasterChef.

The series I’m listening to by Brandon Q. Morris has been of mixed quality.  I’m just wanting to finish the book I’m on, and the following one which will finish the story.  After this I’m not sure what I’m going to listen to, so if anyone has any recommendations please let me know.

We’re a couple of weeks into Celebrity MasterChef and we’ve only recognised two of the contestants.  I think they are stretching the definition of the term celebrity somewhat as many of them appear to be from reality television shows.  I need a good show to get stuck into but there doesn’t seem to be much about.

Website Stuff

It’s getting to that time of year when I need to pay to renew my domain and plan with my site host.  I will probably never make money from this blog but I would like to reduce what it costs me to run.  There are a couple of ways you can help and it will not cost you anything.

Sharing

If you share my blog posts on your social media you are helping me get more traffic.  The more traffic I get, the more ads the site serves, and the more ads served the more revenue I get.  It’s a few seconds of your time, but it will make a big difference for me.

Interactions

Liking and commenting on posts will help boost the site and attract more traffic.  

Subscribe

You can sign up to receive emails when I publish a new post.  

Donations

This is the one that involves paying something.  I’ll never put the site behind a paywall.  However, should you wish to donate to the running costs of the site it would be greatly appreciated.  You can do this via the form below.  You can select one of the suggested amounts or choose your own.

Financial Update

Assets

Premium Bonds: £14,050.00.

Stocks and Shares ISA: £79,255.66.

Fuck It Fund: £846.75.

Pensions: £81,857.77.

Residential Property Value: £234,044.00. 

BTL Property Value: £151,029.00.

Total Assets: £561,083.18.

Debts

Residential Mortgage: £185,958.33. 

BTL Mortgage: £104,787.85.

Total Debts: £290,746.18.

Total Wealth: £270,337.00.

BTL Update

This sale has been dragging on for ages.  We accepted the offer months ago, and it’s felt like we are the only people eager to push the deal through.  At the start of the week, we had made it clear that if there was no significant progress by this coming Friday we would pull out of the deal.  We followed that up with a couple of emails to the agent on the 20th and 21st, for which we received no reply.

On the 23rd I emailed the owner of the agency and received her out-of-office alert.  So, I called the agent to see what was going on.  The person I had been dealing with was on holiday, and my emails to her on the 20th and 21st had not been picked up by anyone else.  I can only assume that those emails would have remained unread until this person was back in the office.  

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I was asked if my queries could wait until she was back on holiday, to which I explained we had set a deadline for this deal to complete and we really needed to know what was going on.  The person on the phone again explained that her colleague was on holiday and added that she has children.

How is that relevant?

From that nugget of information, I can only assume the holiday was booked in advance and the business should have put in place measures to make sure their work was being looked after.  It’s not like property transactions go on hold because an agent is on holiday.

To be clear, I’m not complaining about someone having time off work, but I’m frustrated and annoyed that the business had no process in place to deal with issues that arise when one of their staff is off work.  

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We eventually got an update that the buyer has sent the outstanding documents to their solicitor which means the legal work should (hopefully) be coming to an end.  

Funding TempFI

I’ve been thinking about how best to organise my funds for TempFI.  I don’t want to draw money out of my investments by selling units, so it’s probably going to be using cash from savings pots in combination with 0% credit cards.  I will use income that my investments generate, such as dividends, interest, and winnings from Premium Bonds.  

Assuming I don’t invest during my TempFI period, I should only need about £1k per month to get by.  I’m expecting to net £16k(ish) from the sale of the BTL, so if I take six or seven months off work, it’s not going to clean me out.  

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I can’t wait to have a sustained period to work on myself.  I feel as though it will help me find a direction in life, and to discover what I can do that makes me feel like I’m making a difference.

That’s all for this week.  Thank you for reading, and I hope you have a great week ahead.

Disclaimer

The views and opinions in this blog are my own, and do not represent the views or opinions of my employer, nor should they be considered advice.  

If you want personalised financial advice, seek an appropriate professional.  If you are in financial difficulty, seek advice via the resources below:

StepChange

MoneyHelper

Biolink 

You can now find all my social media pages by checking out my Biolink:

bio.link/davidscothern.

Part 251: I don’t have time for patience

Hello and welcome back to Mortgage Advisor on FIRE.  This week I discuss statistics, and how to spot misleading ones.  Also, a week ahead that has huge potential.  There’s the usual financial updates, and some fun with cold callers.

Weekly Update

Football

The football started last week and my team, Sheffield Wednesday, have had a flying start.  We beat Plymouth 4-0 in our first game and followed up with another victory against Hull.  I think this is going to be a great season with Danny Röhl leading the team.  

Danny came in partway through last season when we were bottom of the table and without a win in ten games.  He changed our fortunes and we avoided relegation.  The turnaround in our form was like night and day.  At just 35 years old, he’s got a hell of a career ahead of him.  

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For the first time in quite a while, there seems to be a positive buzz around the club despite there being something of a conflict between some of the fans and the owner.

Cold Calls

I had a funny cold call the other day.  Oana and I have a little in-joke when we want to ask the other a question, which goes like this:

Me: Hey, can I ask you a question?

Oana: What?

Me: Did you ever hear the tragedy of Darth Plagueis The Wise?

For those who don’t know, this is a Star Wars reference.  We also like to mix it up with;

“Do you know how the Orcs first came into being?”

Yes, we are geeks when it comes to sci-fi and fantasy.  

This is where the fun begins…

Anyway, I like to mess with cold callers with this sort of thing.  I had a call from someone claiming to be from some housing repair thing with the council, but I had many reasons to doubt the authenticity of the claim.  Following the greeting and introduction, the call went like this:

CC: Can I ask about your housing repair?

Me: Can I ask you a question first?

CC: er… ok…

Me: Did you ever hear the tragedy of Darth Plagueis The Wise?

CC: …

Me: It’s not a story the Jedi would tell you. It’s a Sith legend. Darth Plagueis was a Dark Lord of the Sith, so powerful and so wise he could use the Force to influence the midichlorians to create life… 

CC: …

Me: He had such a knowledge of the dark side that he could even keep the ones he cared about from dying. The dark side of the Force is a pathway to many abilities some consider to be unnatural. He became so powerful… the only thing he was afraid of was losing his power, which eventually, of course, he did. Unfortunately, he taught his apprentice everything he knew, then his apprentice killed him in his sleep. Ironic. He could save others from death, but not himself.

CC: …

*click of call disconnecting*

Me: hello?

The different types of cold call…

There’s a distinction between cold calls that serve a purpose, like a company you are regularly dealing with getting in touch to give an update or something.  Then, there’s the cold calling which is intrusive and designed purely to get something from you.  When someone approaches you for something and it’s unsolicited, it’s not about doing something for you but rather doing something for them.  

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It’s like when someone on the street stops me and my automatic response is, “I don’t speak English”.  Without fail it’s met with a perplexed reaction and I just keep on walking.

If you are just living your life and someone interrupts you, you don’t owe them anything other than basic politeness in the first instance.  If they interrupt again after you’ve made it clear you’re not interested, then the gloves come off, so to speak.

Where there’s blame, there’s a claim…

Last Sunday we went for a walk around the city and stopped for an early dinner at a Turkish place we like.  We had a nice meal and set off walking back.  Along the way, Oana lost her footing and went down pretty hard.  There was a spot of loose bricks which had a drop of a couple of inches.  If you didn’t know it was there and had the misfortune to step in that exact spot, it was going to be painful.  

Oana landed on her left kneecap and twisted her right ankle.  The knee was a mess with blood coming out and a massive bruise, and the ankle was visibly swollen.  Had an elderly or frail person gone through this it could have snapped their leg in two.  It’s almost like getting your foot completely trapped and then going over when you try to take a step forward.  

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She has started the process of making a claim for this as it’s been a nasty injury and she’s been in pain all week.  It’s been severe enough to disturb her sleep.

The Week Ahead

I’m a little nervous about the week ahead.  I can’t say too much at this stage, but if things go my way I could see my FI plans accelerate massively.  I could be in an incredible position by the end of the week, or I could be as I am now.  There’s no bad outcome, just the potential for a very positive outcome.

I should find out what’s going on early in the week, and I’m just itching to find out one way or another. 

Another event early in the week is the Kiefer Sutherland gig.  We’ve seen him live twice before and it’s been a good show both times.  It’s going to be a bit rushed as I’m working until 6pm on Monday, and the doors open at 7pm.  If you’ve not heard any of Kiefer’s music you should check him out on YouTube.  It’s not my favourite music, but it’s easy to listen to and he puts on a great live show.

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Health

Regular readers will be aware that I’ve got a few ongoing health issues.  This week I had an appointment to discuss the results of some of the routine blood tests I have done every few months.  The long and short of it is that I’ve crossed a threshold at which they need to monitor me more closely.  I didn’t follow everything they said, but basically, I have an estimated 11% chance of a heart attack or stroke in the next ten years.  

As you can imagine this was a bit of a shock to the system but it’s also a sign that I need to make drastic changes.  I’ve started checking my blood sugar levels more often and so far it’s helping reduce the amount of snacking I’m doing.  If I can make changes to my diet like reducing the amount of salt, saturated fats, sugar, and other rubbish, then I should be able to reverse this.  

Part of the problem is stress and modern life.  It’s difficult to work full time, clean and maintain a home, shop, and prepare healthy food that hits the spot in terms of taste.

Diabetes UK Step Challenge

From July 1st until September 30th Diabetes UK is running a step challenge to raise money for their cause.  There are three step targets to choose from; 500k, 1m, or 1.7m.  I had originally gone for the 1.7m steps, but it’s become clear I’ve bitten off more than I can chew.  I’m now aiming for the 1m target.  

If you’d like to follow my progress or make a donation, it can be done here.

Letters to Oana

If you missed it, Part 2 of the series Letters to Oana is now live.

Looking Back

Part 15 of the Looking Back series is also live.

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What I’m Doing

Listening: The Clouds of Venus by Brandon Q. Morris and Ashton Mclee.

Watching: Celebrity MasterChef.

Sometimes you encounter someone so utterly stupid that their dipshittery begins to contaminate your own brain.  We experienced this as we started watching the latest series of Celebrity MasterChef on iPlayer.  

One of the contestants was a “reality star” and “influencer” so annoying and so wilfully stupid that I almost couldn’t watch.  I’m not going to name them because I don’t want to give them any recognition.  

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I don’t have an issue with people not understanding or knowing things.  However, I do have a problem with people who revel in their ignorance, who show no humility or self-awareness and have no desire to learn or improve.

I also hate the culture of regularly going out and getting so drunk you can’t control your own actions.  Being a drunken idiot is not a personality.  Being unnecessarily loud and obnoxious is not endearing, attractive, or something to aspire to.     

I’m still working through the sci-fi series by Brandon Q. Morris.  I’m on book five and it’s weakest so far.  It’s not grabbing me, but with only nine books in the series, I’m going to stick it out.  

Website Stuff and Support

It’s getting to that time of year when I need to pay to renew my domain and plan with my site host.  I will probably never make money from this blog but I would like to reduce what it costs me to run.  There are a couple of ways you can help and it will not cost you anything.

Sharing

If you share my blog posts on your social media you are helping me get more traffic.  The more traffic I get, the more ads the site serves, and the more ads served the more revenue I get.  It’s a few seconds of your time, but it will make a big difference for me.

Interactions

Liking and commenting on posts will help boost the site and attract more traffic.  

Subscribe

You can sign up to receive emails when I publish a new post.  

Donations

This is the one that involves paying something.  I’ll never put the site behind a paywall.  However, should you wish to donate to the running costs of the site it would be greatly appreciated.  You can do this via the form below.  You can select one of the suggested amounts or choose your own.

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Support Mortgage Advisor on FIRE

Financial Update

Assets

Premium Bonds: £14,000.00.

Stocks and Shares ISA: £78,407.89.

Fuck It Fund: £346.75.

Pensions: £80,579.90.

Residential Property Value: £234,044.00. 

BTL Property Value: £151,029.00.

Total Assets: £558,407.54.

Debts

Residential Mortgage: £185,958.33. 

BTL Mortgage: £104,787.85.

Total Debts: £290,746.18.

Total Wealth: £267,661.36.

The mini-slump in the stock market appears to have ended and bounced back.  We are still, somehow, no further on with the BTL sale, despite having accepted the offer a few months ago.  We had to apply some pressure to get the agreement in principle from the buyers, and now it looks like we may have to apply some pressure to get the sale over the line. 

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Statistics

A good statistic should stand on its own. It should not need extensive clarification, caveats, or additional explanation to make sense. This means it should be; clear, accurate, contextualised, and representative.  

A good example would be from a GP surgery; 

“5.5% of appointments with the practice nurse in July were missed in this surgery.  This is above the national average of 4%.”

This statement is clear and requires no mental effort to understand the point being made.  It is, one assumes, accurate and is placed in the context of the national average.  It is also easy to understand the population represented in the statement.

Bad Statistics

A bad statistic does not hit these points, and sometimes this is due to a faulty premise or question.  For example;

“In a survey of users, 100% of respondents reported being happy with the product’s performance.”

Note: the survey had the following options: Happy.  Very Happy.  Extremely Happy.

The more you think about the statement, knowing the context, the worse it gets.  It says nothing of the completion rate of the surveys and does nothing to provide detail on how many users were approached and what research methods were employed i.e. whether it was anonymous, or requested electronically or in person.  

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Hanlon’s Razor

Whilst the above example is bad, it’s possible that it’s not intended to deliberately mislead.  It could simply be stupidity, or as Hanlon’s Razor states;

“Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.”

An example of a misleading statement would be when a university states:

“The average annual income for students graduating from our university in 2022 was £174,750.”

Anyone looking at this statement should be asking questions, such as;

What department did these students graduate from?

What degree did they achieve?

The average is £174,750 which I assume is the mean, but what are the median and mode?

For those who don’t know, when we talk about the “average” in daily life we are almost always referring to the mean, i.e. the total of all the values divided by the number of values.  For example, the mean of 50+90+40 is 60.  

If I take a series of numbers, such as;

8, 8, 13, 13, 13, 14, 15, 39, 42, 42, 74, 75, 91

The mean is 34.385.

The median is 15 (the middle value when the data set is ordered according to size).

The mode is 13 (the value that occurs most often in the data set).

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In the example of annual earnings for the graduates, it’s possible to get the mean stated where 99 students earn £25,000p/a and 1 student earns £15,000,000p/a.  Furthermore, the one earning £15m does so because they have an insanely popular YouTube channel that has nothing to do with their degree in Literature.  

Data can say whatever you want…

I hate seeing data being tortured to the point it claims whatever someone wants to hear.  We are all prone to this to some degree though, and it’s a good habit to check through data before reporting on it.  Are the statistics clear, accurate, contextualised, and representative?

This isn’t just nitpicking for the sake of it.  Statistics are manipulated and used to influence all sorts of decisions from what brands to buy, to where to shop, to where to go on holiday.  No one is immune from the effects of this, and all we can do is stop and ask questions about the information we are presented with.  

That’s all for this week.  Thank you for reading, and I hope you have a great week ahead.  Please remember to share this post, and if you have any thoughts on what I’ve said, leave a comment!

Disclaimer

The views and opinions in this blog are my own, and do not represent the views or opinions of my employer, nor should they be considered advice.  

If you want personalised financial advice, seek an appropriate professional.  If you are in financial difficulty, seek advice via the resources below:

StepChange

MoneyHelper

Biolink 

You can now find all my social media pages by checking out my Biolink:

bio.link/davidscothern.

Looking Back: Part 15

Originally published February 7th, 2020.

Introduction

Hello and welcome back to Mortgage Advisor on FIRE.  This week I will be looking at some more absurd financial “journalism”, and how house buying has become so much more difficult in the last few decades. 

Weekly Update

My health is no better since last week, unfortunately.  I now have extreme pain in both feet and ankles.  My legs cannot support my weight as I stand, and I have to use crutches to stumble around my home.  Last night my sleep was constantly disturbed by pain at the slightest movement in the bed. 

I’ve had a lot of time off work in the last year, but it’s not as fun as it sounds.  The worst part, after the pain, is the loneliness.  I am on my own for most of the day and in too much pain to go out even if I want to.  I’m alone with my thoughts. 

When I do speak to people, all they want to speak about is my health, with the same questions coming up each time.  The person asking the question does not realise that I’m answering these questions to several people. 

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As an absolute minimum, I am already discussing my health with six people; my two parents, my girlfriend, my boss, my doctor(s) and my insurer.  This does not include friends.  I’m starting to feel that almost all my conversations are health-based.  It’s a bit boring and a bit depressing.

My mental health is not in a good place either.  For two years my physical health has been deteriorating.  I keep getting told, “It can’t get worse” but the evidence suggests the opposite.  I’m not sure what the endgame is for my health, but it’s not sustainable as it is.  Living in constant pain is horrible.  I’m sick of hospital visits.  I’m sick of wondering if I’m going to fall over as I stumble from the chair to the kitchen. 

​I’ve seen my orthopaedic consultant and my cardiologist, and they are recommending I speak with a rheumatologist.  There is a theory that I might have some form of autoimmune issue that could be causing several of the health problems I’ve got.  It makes sense to me that there must be one or two causes at the heart of this because it does not seem right that a 36-year-old would have as many health problems as I have.  

I was in a pretty bad place when this was going on. I’d like to say that my physical health has improved, but I’m still struggling with various aches and pains. For some reason, it’s common for autistic people to have joint problems, which at least explains why my knees, elbows, and shoulders frequently hurt.

Financial Update

Premium Bonds: £13,000 (up £550 from last week).

Stocks and Shares ISA: £8,234.33 (up £15.33 from last week).

F**k It Fund: £1,513.11 (up £1.26 from last week).

Property Value*: £181,626 (up £8,125 from last week).

Total Assets: £204,373.44 (up £8,754.59 from last week).

Credit Card Debt: £47.06 (up £47.06 from last week).

Loan Debt: £3,370.33 (no change from last week).

Mortgage Debt: £133,960.57 (down £318.54 from last week).

Total Debt: £137,377.96 (down £271.48 from last week).


Total Wealth Figure**: £66,995.48 (up £8,963.07 from last week).

Investment Income in 2020: £0.00 (no change from last week) (Target £2,000).

*Valued at £181,626 according to the lender’s index.

**Total assets minus total debt

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I had some spare cash this week and I invested most of it in the Premium Bonds.  I’m on the home straight to the target of £14,850.  The closer I get to that target, the more impatient I am.  My credit card went up because I did not get the opportunity to make the payment before writing this post.  We have paid for our visas for our upcoming India trip and with the pain I’ve been in, I forgot to make the payment.  This should be back to zero soon. 

​In the last week, I was made aware that my property value has increased.  My mortgage lender has an index valuation for each property and their estimate of my property’s worth has increased by just over £8,000.  Whilst this does not mean much, as something is worth what one is willing to pay, it is still a sign that house prices are increasing generally.  As the valuation continues to increase as my mortgage balance comes down, it also means I can look at extra borrowing sooner to free up cash to use as a deposit on another BTL.  

And now I’m getting impatient for my BTL to sell. It seems to be taking forever.

Financial News

Yes, the esteemed financial publication Ladbible posted an article on 31/01/2020 about how a young couple saved up a £13,000 deposit for a property in six months. 

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The basic facts of the case:  they are aged 19 and 20.  They earn roughly £37,000 between them (£19,000 and £18,000 each).  In six months they saved £13,000.  To me, those numbers did not add up and sure enough there was a lot the headline and initial information did not disclose. 

It turns out that this couple was able to live with family whilst they saved.  Although not directly stated, it’s strongly implied that they paid little to no rent and/or contributions to bills.  The couple did admit that they cut down on nights out and takeaways though. 

There are a few things about this type of story that annoy me.  First, it makes saving sound easy.  It’s not.  Saving money, especially at that age is difficult.  Second, but more importantly, had they not had a family that was able to subsidise their living expenses, then they would not have been able to save the deposit.  This is not a story about a young couple saving.  It’s a story about parents gifting a deposit to their children.  The deposit was not handed over in one go, but rather over six months of subsidised housing, food and shelter.    

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This is often overlooked and can make a lot of people from less wealthy socioeconomic backgrounds feel like failures. A young person starting in the world of work is less likely to feel pressured to move out of the family home if it’s a sprawling six-bedroom house with multiple bathrooms and lots of living space.

On the other hand, a young adult in a two-bedroom semi-detached house with their parents is probably going to feel claustrophobic. The latter person will then have to pay rent whilst saving, not to mention council tax, utilities, food etc. On the other hand, the former example sees the person able to save much more of their salary as many of the basic costs will be covered by their family.

If you are just saving on rent and council tax, that could be anything up to £1,000 per month you can save.

For many young singles and couples, saving for a deposit is a pipedream.  Instead of saving over £2,000 per month, they are lucky to save a tenth of that.  This article does nothing to help the typical young person buy their own home.  It risks damaging their self-esteem when they scroll through Facebook and see this young couple flaunting their new, three-floor house which they bought for almost a quarter of a million pounds. 

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​I have nothing against the couple in question.  They did not choose their circumstances, but they did take full advantage of the opportunity provided to them, so full credit where it is due.  I do think they have made some mistakes though.

Buying Your First Home

The timing of this article is interesting as a friend contacted me a couple of days ago to get advice about buying a home.  There is relevance to both this couple, and my friend, in what I am about to write. 

You can only buy your first house once.  It sounds obvious, but it is something you should think about.  Being a first-time buyer generally entitles you to certain benefits and schemes that people buying their second or third property are not eligible for.  This includes better interest rates, lower deposit requirements and access to certain types of equity loans, of which it seems this young couple did take advantage. 

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My friend bought his first house with his ex-partner many years ago; probably close to fifteen years ago now.  Although my friend moved out shortly after, he is still named on the mortgage.  This has hamstrung him ever since.  Despite having nothing to do with the property or mortgage, since, if he were to buy another property, he would be liable for stamp duty. 

Assuming a £100,000 purchase price for a modest one-bedroom apartment, that would be a £3,000 charge just for stamp duty.  I might be doing my friend a disservice, but I suspect this possibility never crossed his mind all those years ago.  When you’re a teenager still, why would it?  Also, although he has an informal agreement with his ex-partner regarding the payments on the mortgage, if she stops paying then the bank is within their rights to pursue him for payment.  If the property is repossessed it will count against my friend for many years.

This young couple should not have bought so young, nor should any couple.  Buying a home is a massive commitment and the biggest financial commitment you will most likely make.  At 19 and 20, you have not finished becoming “you”.  Although legally an adult, you’re not the finished article.  Also, I’m assuming most couples at that age have little experience of living together as a couple, or of running a household.  A little google-fu suggests that the average relationship in your 20s will last just over four years.  Unfortunately, I see the same pattern time after time in my job and my acquaintances.  It goes something like this:

  1. Young couple scrape money together for a house.
  2. The couple get married still in their early 20s.
  3. A baby soon follows.
  4. The combined stress of owning a home, paying a mortgage, and working a job all combine and the relationship suffers.
  5. Divorce and arguments about what to do with the property follow.

My advice to any couple, regardless of age, is to live together for at least a couple of years before buying.  Don’t think of the rent as wasted money, but as an investment to make sure you are suited for each other.  If you break up, it’s easier to exit a tenancy than a mortgage. 

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​I mentioned before that I felt the young couple in the Ladbible story had made a few mistakes.  Buying too young is just one of them, but it would not have been so bad had they bought a smaller, older property.  Instead, they went for a new build over three floors. 

In terms of affordability, they have purchased the property for £222,995.  Of which, it seems they have taken a 20% Help to Buy equity loan and then put 5% down themselves.  £222,995 x 5% = £11,149.75.  That seems about right with their £13,000 savings when you factor in legal fees, valuations and whatnot. 

The mortgage will be for £167,246.25 (75% of the purchase price), which is 4.5 times their income.  That sort of income multiplier is near the limit of what a high-street lender will consider.  No doubt, as a first-time buyer they will have a decent introductory interest rate, but what about when that ends? 

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I would imagine they have bought a large house to fill up with kids – it’s what most couples typically do.  The thing is, if they could only buy the house with help from family, the Help to Buy partner, and the bank, then how will they afford it when rates go up and they have to start paying bills and potentially look after their own family?

They are spending their future earnings already.

Let’s have a closer look at the Help to Buy scheme as well.  The couple seem to have taken a 20% equity loan using this scheme.  This would amount to £44,599.  Normally, no interest is charged for five years.  Following that, they must start thinking about paying the money back.  Normally, people approach their lender to borrow the money to pay the equity loan off.  This is where things can get interesting.  Assume for a moment that the house increases in value by just 1% per year.  In five years, it will be worth approx. £234,370.  When the Help to Buy people ask for their 20% back, they are not asking for £44,599.   No, they are asking for 20% of the current valuation, which in this example is £46,873.  1% as an annual increase is probably very unrealistic and values will likely increase much more quickly.  Assume a 3% annual increase, which is not beyond the realms of possibility, then they will have to pay back £51,700.  There is no such thing as a free lunch. 

If you are young and single, and you can afford to buy a property then it makes sense to do so.  If you are a young couple and you have not lived together before in your own place I would strongly suggest renting briefly before buying.  You don’t really know someone until you’ve lived with them, and as I said earlier it is easier to exit a tenancy than a mortgage. 

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Social Media is unhelpful at times and this sort of article serves no purpose.  It does not help anyone.  The only part of it that is vaguely helpful is that it mentions the Help to Buy scheme which can be useful in certain circumstances.  However, any decent article would have gone into detail about the pitfalls of the scheme, namely that the equity partner does not loan you a cash amount but rather a percentage of the property’s value which can change over time.  With the scheme, you can end up owning much more than you originally borrowed if your property increases in value. 

Part 250: “One is my name. The other is not.”

Hello and welcome back to Mortgage Advisor on FIRE.  This week I discuss the recent riots across the UK, and offer some thoughts on data collection and analysis.  Also, a look at how tiny increases in regular investing can reap big rewards.  

Weekly Update

These riots are annoying and it’s all the usual bullshit about “taking back our country” from people who, let’s be fair, are a bit dim.  I’m still no wiser as to what smashing up your town or city has to do with immigration.

People will have their views on whether they want to live in a country that welcomes refugees and asylum seekers, or one that closes its borders.  I’m of the view that people will believe what they want to believe and you can’t always reason with a belief that is emotionally charged.  Immigration is an emotionally charged topic and I doubt appealing to reason or facts will do much to change opinion.

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In a typical year, roughly 650,000 – 700,000 people are born in the UK.  In 2023 just under 30,000 people came to the UK in boats across the channel.  Yes, people crossing the channel in small boats is an issue; people should cross via safe, official, routes where possible.  It’s hardly the mass invasion that some right-wing hysterical commentators would have you believe.

The murder of those little girls in Southport was horrific and tragic but it should be noted that claims the perpetrator came to the UK on a small boat are wrong.  He was born in the UK, and attempts to hijack these murders are disrespectful.

In short, we need to take appropriate action to make sure people coming to this country are here with legitimate needs.  We also need to protect the people of this country.  We can do both these things without turning into a right-wing ultranationalist shitshow.  

Daily Racism

Racism isn’t just isolated to other people in the news.  My girlfriend of the last 17 years is originally from Romania.  She has experienced a lot of passive-aggressive racism over the years.  For some people, it escalates to something more dangerous and sinister.  

An acquaintance of ours, also from Romania, confided in Oana that they, and their partner, are subject to regular attacks on themselves and their property just because they are not from the UK.  We are talking about; being kicked and punched, being threatened with knives, and having their car and home vandalised. 

This is in a densely populated area of the city, and not somewhere in the sticks with no witnesses.  It’s so fucked up it makes me angry.  I said it last week and I’ll say it again; what the fuck is wrong with people?

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Health Update

I had a follow-up with the consultant about my pancreas, as an abnormality was detected when I had a CT scan on my kidneys, leading to another CT on my pancreas.  The long and short of it is there’s nothing to worry about.  There’s some calcification in my pancreas but apart from that it’s all good.  

The frustrating thing is that all this came about as a result of pain in several areas of my body.  Initially, I had a testicular ultrasound, which led to a CT of my kidneys and an ultrasound of my liver, which in turn led to the scan of my pancreas.  After weeks of back and forth with different consultants, who in fairness have been professional and thorough, and many different scans and tests they’ve all concluded that they can’t find anything wrong.  But what about the pain that prompted this whole saga?

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Well, the pain is still present.  In my experience, the medical community keep forgetting about what makes people seek medical advice.  It’s the same thing as my right elbow which, a couple of years down the line still gives me a fair amount of pain.  I had scans and physio, but nothing worked.  So the consultant at that point basically shrugged his shoulders.

I’m not saying they should do stuff for the sake of it, but their communication needs to improve as does their empathy.  If you are sat there with a load of test results that show no abnormalities, that’s not necessarily going to be good news.  Sometimes we want something tangible that can be dealt with, rather than just a shrug and indifference.  A simple acknowledgement of this frustration would go a long way.

Data, Communication, and Targets

Nope, not the android who strives to be human.  I’m talking about data; information, statistics, and so on.  As a little side note, I just want to clarify that it’s pronounced data, not data.  

As a bit of a data nerd, I love to see a well-thought-out plan to collect, analyse, and report on data.  Sadly, this is a rare experience, and many efforts to collect data fail because the reason for the whole exercise is either not explained or not understood.  Data in itself is not good or bad; it’s a resource which can lead to massive benefits if used and treated well.  

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I’m going to give an example of what I mean, and I’m going back to Natwest to show how some businesses just don’t know what they are doing.

I worked in three different branches during my time at Natwest.  The following took place in one of those branches; the one where I was accused of not processing a cheque which I recently wrote about.  Anyway, this branch was not recording as many complaints as other locations, and the higher-ups wanted to understand why.

Who needs logic?

When faced with something like this, a sensible approach would be to ensure staff know how to recognise and record complaints, and to pay closer attention to interactions between customer-facing staff and the customers who visit the branch.  An approach that makes no fucking sense is to tell all customer-facing staff they need to log three complaints a day.  My manager went with the latter option.

Yes, staff were expected to register three complaints a day.  This was a branch with five customer-facing staff; three cashiers, a banking consultant, and a customer advisor.  Fifteen complaints a day, from a branch that was relatively quiet for most of the day with an empty banking hall.  

I refused to log fake complaints.  If there was a legitimate complaint, I had no issue registering it.  I wasn’t going to make a record of imaginary ones though.  It’s not just a point of pride, but rather adhering to basic data protection principles.

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What did this whole exercise achieve?  Was anyone in a better position because of this?  Did it lead to any greater understanding?

Just do it, the reason doesn’t matter…

Another example comes from a different business I worked for in the early 2000s.  I loved working for them, but even they were not immune from brain farts.  They wanted to understand how many new claims were opened, and what those claims were for. 

So, they opted to ask staff to record a number of their interactions each day using a three-digit code that was entered into the computer.  Staff were told there was an expected completion rate, which I can’t remember exactly but it was not 100%.  Also, because many codes were similar it was easy to mix them up.  The data collected was, as a result, lacking validity.

The kicker was that the company already could get the data it wanted.  The software used to create claims generated a report on a daily, weekly, and monthly basis which broke down the number of claims registered and categorised them by type.  I pointed this out but was told we still had to follow this process.  Why?  No one was able, or willing, to say.

P-hacking

All this reminds me of the concept of p-hacking.  Now, I’m going to use a phrase I was recently told which is that the following information is directionally accurate but is also massively simplified for ease of explanation.  

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If you are completing a study to find out if attendance at work is linked to pay you would have two key variables; attendance at work is the independent variable (the one you are changing or grouping by), and the dependent variable (the one being measured) would be pay.  

You collect your data and run it through a series of tests to determine if there is a significant relationship between attendance at work and pay.  What you are then left with is the p-value, which is the level of significance. 

It is generally accepted that if the p-value is <.05 then the result is statistically significant, i.e. the hypothesis that increased attendance at work leads to higher pay is supported by the data at a statistically significant level.

So, what is p-hacking?

It takes several forms but is the act of collecting as much data as possible before subjecting it to as much analysis as possible so that you can find significant relationships, even if those relationships are total bullshit.  

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A good experiment or study starts with a question, which leads to a hypothesis.  This leads to a decision on research methods, data collection, and analysis.  The results are then presented and discussed.  Often, those that p-hack, will work almost in reverse by collecting huge amounts of data and then deciding what they are going to report, whilst deciding on a research question.  

It’s similar to the Texas Sharpshooter idea; you take a rifle and shoot several times into the side of a barn.  Then you take a marker and draw a bullseye around each bullet hole.  

If you torture the data for long enough, you can get it to admit anything.

Sheffield Bricktropolis

“Hi everyone, my name is David…”

“Hi David”

“… and I’m a Lego addict.”

For a few years, an event has run in Sheffield called Sheffield Bricktropolis.  Around the city giant Lego creations are scattered and it’s good fun to take a day to walk around and view them all.  Each year tends to have a different theme, whether it’s space, architecture, dinosaurs, or as is the case for 2024 a safari theme.  

A selection of pics we took is below:

Diabetes UK Step Challenge

From July 1st until September 30th Diabetes UK is running a step challenge to raise money for their cause.  There are three step targets to choose from; 500k, 1m, or 1.7m.  I had originally gone for the 1.7m steps, but it’s become clear I’ve bitten off more than I can chew.  I’m now aiming for the 1m target.  

If you’d like to follow my progress or make a donation, it can be done here.

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Letters to Oana

If you missed it, Part 2 of the series Letters to Oana is now live.

Looking Back

Part 14 of the Looking Back series is also live.

What I’m Doing

Listening: The Rift by Brandon Q. Morris (audible).

Watching: 

We are between TV shows at the moment as we are working through our respective books and a few other projects.  I’ve been enjoying the series of audiobooks I’m in the middle of listening to.  It’s a hard(ish) sci-fi series, meaning it tries to be grounded more in actual science than something like Star Wars or Star Trek.  Some of the writing is a little clunky but the story itself is engaging.  I’m on book three and I think there are six in the series.

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Website Stuff

It’s getting to that time of year when I need to pay to renew my domain and plan with my site host.  I will probably never make money from this blog but I would like to reduce what it costs me to run.  There are a couple of ways you can help and it will not cost you anything.

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Financial Update

Assets

Premium Bonds: £14,000.00.

Stocks and Shares ISA: £76,355.09.

Fuck It Fund: £346.75.

Pensions: £78,505.29.

Residential Property Value: £234,044.00. 

BTL Property Value: £151,029.00.

Total Assets: £554,280.13.

Debts

Residential Mortgage: £185,958.33. 

BTL Mortgage: £104,787.85.

Total Debts: £290,746.18.

Total Wealth: £263,533.95.

The stock market has taken a hit recently but it’s no big deal.  It will, as always, recover.

I’m in a bit of a holding pattern at the moment where I’m waiting for my BTL sale to complete.  Also, there’s something else going on that I can’t yet discuss which could drastically change my FI plans.  It will not be too much longer before I can discuss this more openly, but for now, I’m just waiting.

We’re halfway through Q3 for 2024 and, on the whole, it’s been a decent year for my finances.  Assuming we don’t end the year with a Trump victory in the US, 2025 could be a very positive year also.  

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Pensions

Young adults have it tough with the disconnect between wages, the cost of living, and the cost of rent and property prices being huge.  Trying to buy a decent first home now seems to be beyond a lot of people, with many young adults living month to month.  It sucks.

It’s no surprise, then, that pensions are often overlooked by this demographic.  This isn’t a wise choice though.  Often, employers will match pension contributions above the minimum they are required to.  The more you sacrifice each month from your wage, the more money your employer may also pay.  It’s worth checking out as it’s free money.

I understand that the here and now has to take priority when it comes to money, but if you can free up a little by switching to a better phone/internet/TV package, that extra money could make a huge difference throughout the typical working life.

If someone is paying £50pm into their workplace pension, with the employer paying £30pm, after 30 years the pension would be worth approximately £80k (assuming a 6% rate of growth).  However, if the employee increased their contributions by £15pm, and the employer matched this, after 30 years the pension could be worth over £110,000.  So, for an extra £5,400 (the total of £15 extra per month for 30 years) the pension fund increases by over £30k.

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It’s crazy to leave free money on the table in this way.  If you can afford to free up the extra few pounds each month and your employer offers pension matching, then it’s something you should consider.  

That’s all for this week.  Thank you for reading, and I hope you have a great week ahead.  Please remember to share this post, and if you have any thoughts on what I’ve said, leave a comment!

Disclaimer

The views and opinions in this blog are my own, and do not represent the views or opinions of my employer, nor should they be considered advice.  

If you want personalised financial advice, seek an appropriate professional.  If you are in financial difficulty, seek advice via the resources below:

StepChange

MoneyHelper

Biolink 

You can now find all my social media pages by checking out my Biolink:

bio.link/davidscothern.

Part 249: Interest Only Mortgages, Probation, and Everybody Needs Good Neighbours.

Hello and welcome back to Mortgage Advisor on FIRE.  This week I discuss interest-only mortgages, probationary periods at work, the Olympics, and a few other bits and pieces.

Weekly Update

It’s time to ask the question again… What the fuck is wrong with people?

I’ve mostly stopped watching or reading the news because it’s just depressing.  I dip into scientific and financial news, but current events I avoid.  I’ve read multiple sources claiming that the easiest thing you can do to improve your mental health is to stop consuming news from the mainstream media.  It’s a good suggestion.  There’s just so much horrific stuff going on, whether it’s young girls being killed by a guy with a knife, or whole cities being reduced to rubble in war.  

The problem with the media is that they don’t just report the news; they spin it with their agenda.  Some sources are more blatant than others, and for this reason, I refuse to watch Sky News or GB News.  The BBC isn’t immune either.  When you watch the news, you are opening yourself up to propaganda, and the more you watch, the further into an echo chamber you go.  

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People are generally poor at thinking critically.  It takes practice.  We operate using heuristics, mental shortcuts, that allow us to get through daily life without being paralysed through indecision.  The drawback to this is we sometimes sacrifice quality of processing for speed.

Crime

One example is crime.  This is anecdotal, but many people seem to think crime is on the rise.  It’s not. Crime has been steadily falling for many years.  What has increased is the media’s reporting of crime.  In the late 1900s, we had just a handful of TV stations and few 24-hour sources of news.  A quarter of the way into the 21st century and we have multiple 24-hour news channels, and websites constantly being updated with “Breaking News” banners.  

There’s a saying in the media; “if it bleeds, it leads”.  The idea is that stories involving violence, injury, or death, are often the most read or viewed.  The big news organisations are so obsessed with viewing figures and hits on their websites because this generates money for them.  If you have more people reading your website, you get more money from advertising.  Violent crime leads to more people viewing the story which leads to profit.  Horrific events are being pumped for money.  It’s gross.  

It should not be surprising then, that many people believe crime is increasing because that’s all they see on the news; if it bleeds, it leads.

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Neighbours

It’s always nice when you have good neighbours.  In the twelve or so years we’ve lived in our apartment, the apartment on the right, as you stand on our balcony, has had many tenants.  With only a couple of exceptions, they’ve mostly been assholes who make lots of noise and have little consideration for other residents.  

On the left side, we’ve had the same neighbours for the past six years, and they’ve been nice and chill.  We never really spoke with them much apart from the usual greetings and small talk, but they told us they’re moving to Manchester for work, and it sucks we’ll be losing them.  They were renting so it looks like we’ll be getting new tenants on that side.  

I’m always anxious when we get new neighbours, especially on the right side as their living room shares a wall with our bedroom.  So if they are noisy, it impacts our sleep.  I had to have strong words with the last set of tenants and things did eventually calm down, but it shouldn’t be necessary to have to ask people to stop shouting after midnight in the week.

Olympics

I can’t let this week pass without mentioning the absolute legend that is Yusuf Dikec.  For those who don’t know, this 51-year-old man turned up to the 10-meter air pistol shooting event with almost no equipment, where his competitors were fully kitted up.  He nonchalantly put his left hand in his pocket and fired off a few rounds with his right hand.  He won silver.

I love this sort of confidence, and I love the resulting memes even more. 

In a not-so-positive incident, the Olympics have been in the spotlight for issues of sex and gender, even though much of what is being said is either wrong or misguided.  I’m a live-and-let-live guy, and I think people should be able to follow their own path concerning their gender identity and sexual preferences.  

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In a society where gender is increasingly fluid, is it time to rethink the traditional male and female split in sport?  I wrote about this a few years ago and don’t think my views have changed too much; for some sports, I think we should look at other ways of splitting competitors into balanced and fair brackets.  

We already do this with weight classes in combat sports.  Further splitting into groups based on some underlying physical difference or based on past performance may be the way to go.  It’s a complicated issue and we have to be careful that we don’t discriminate against one group by being inclusive of another.

Probationary Periods

I’m writing this with Oana’s permission as she’s increasingly frustrated at work.  She started with a new company just over three months ago and had a three-month probationary period.  During this time there have been no complaints about her work but there have been many instances where she’s had nothing to do because she’s not been given the required training.  They’re too busy to train the person they hired because they were short-staffed.  You can’t make this up.  

Anyway, they’ve extended her probation by a further three months because they need to train her.  It seems wholly unfair to do this, but as I have repeatedly told people, life isn’t fair.  This is not just a matter of pride.  There are some things Oana is missing out on whilst being in a probationary period, such as pension contributions and sick pay.  Here’s hoping they actually train her so she can crack on with the work.

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This led to me telling Oana the story of the time an employer wanted to extend my probation, and she thought I should repeat it here.

Natwest – The Dumpster Fire Bank

Back in 2005, I left university halfway through the second year.  I took a job at Natwest who, and I’m being generous here, are shit.  Their processes, policies, and attitude sucked.  I worked in a branch as a cashier and it was just horrible.  

Each morning the branch managers would gather the staff and get them to “bid” on how much business they would do that day.  You see, each product had a number of points attached to it and the branch had to hit a daily, weekly, and monthly target.  Signing someone up to a credit card might get 200 points, and a mortgage might get 5,000 points, for example.  

The whole exercise is just bullshit.  You can’t control who is going to come into the bank that day, and you can’t control what business they want to conduct.  Some of the dysfunctional behaviour I saw was appalling, like slipping in a credit card form to be signed in the middle of a load of other documents relating to a bank account or loan. As Super Hans would say, “The secret ingredient is crime”.

I completed my training in a city centre flagship branch.  The staff were generally decent people (at least those not engaging in fucked up practices like telling people a credit card was compulsory when signing up for a bank account) but it was just relentless bullshit from 9-5.  After a few weeks, I was assigned to a branch in an affluent area where people generally had a bit more money, and it was a more pleasant environment except for the absolute dipshittery of the branch manager and area manager.

Dipshit Central

This small branch had the branch manager, the assistant branch manager, the assistant’s sister working as a cashier, an older guy working as an advisor for loans and mortgages, and a couple of young women one of whom I liked as she was friendly and chill, and the other one was like a black hole for drama.

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Anyway, one day I was pulled into a meeting with the branch manager.  A cheque had been found unprocessed on the row of desks cashiers used.  It was a few weeks old.  The branch manager claimed she remembered handing this specific cheque to me, yet it was found on someone else’s desk hidden out of sight.  

I had no idea what this was all about.  I can’t say with 100% certainty that I didn’t handle it, but the fact it was found wedged between a load of other stuff on a desk three spaces down from the desk I used seemed a bit weird.  My desk was near the door to the back office and I had no reason to go as far down the row of desks where this cheque was discovered because it was a dead end at that side.

The Duchess of Dipshitston

The manager insisted it was my fault.  I explained all the reasons why it was 99.9% certainly not my fault.  We had her memory on one side of the argument, and lots of circumstantial evidence on the other, as well as my complete lack of memory of this cheque.  

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As the meeting dragged on, and the manager became increasingly belligerent, I told her to back off and apologise for how she was speaking to me.  She refused.  I got up and walked out.

I am, to this day, convinced that I was stitched up.  The staff in that branch had been working together for years.  I was the new guy.  The manager could either pin this on her assistant’s sister, or the nice young woman she had taken under her wing.  Neither of those things was going to happen, so by elimination, I was the scapegoat.

The Wrong Side of the Tracks

I was then assigned to another location by the area manager which was an hour’s travel away and in a rough area.  When I say rough, I’m talking about people being mugged outside the branch.  I already knew at this point I would be leaving, but I had just a few weeks until a two-week holiday from work, which was also around the time my probationary period ended.

As I was finishing up for the day and about to go on leave the area manager called me into a meeting and said they were extending my probation.  I refused.  He looked confused.  This is what the conversation went like.

AM: We are extending your probation because you had to be moved from one branch to another.  We need to evaluate your performance over a longer time frame.

Me: No.

AM: What do you mean?

Me: I am rejecting your offer of an extended probation.

I swear at this point his brain encountered the blue screen of death.  It’s almost like his eyes greyed out the same way a window that’s not responding does.  After what felt like an eternity, but was probably only a few seconds, I asked if we were done.

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The first thing I did on holiday was to start ramping up my job search.  I found a cool-sounding job working for a health insurance company as a claims assessor.  My application was successful and I was called in for an interview with the recruitment agency, which I nailed.  I then went to an interview with the employer, Aviva (Norwich Union as it was then) and nailed that interview.  I was offered the job the same day.

Petty? Yes. Satisfying? Also yes.

When I returned from holiday I resigned from Natwest.  They asked for my uniform back, so I returned it to the branch in a bin bag and tipped it out on the reception desk.  Yeah, petty but satisfying.  

They were a shit company to work for, and I’ve refused to have anything to do with them since.  

On the other hand, Aviva was great to work for.  Even though it’s been almost two decades since I quit to go back to university, I still look back on my time there fondly.  They had a great culture, and some amazing people, and the work was fascinating.  The business was engaged with its staff, and performance and promotions were handled transparently and were based on merit.  To this day, it’s the happiest I’ve been working for another company.  

I’ve never had a problem standing up for myself in the workplace when I see bullshit behaviour.  I worked briefly at BT through an agency and that was almost as bad as Natwest.  I’ve also rejected job offers because I felt my worth was greater than what was being offered.  Each time they came back with a better offer.  

When I work for a company I view it as a simple business relationship.  I have a list of duties and if I complete them to an acceptable standard I am paid as per my contract.  It’s not about being friends, although you can become friends with those you work with.  It’s not about loyalty either, although you can develop working relationships based on mutual respect, and reciprocity.  An employer paying your wage is basically subscribing to the skills you offer.  That subscription entitles them to the product of your work, but it doesn’t entitle them to your thoughts, feelings, or beliefs.  

This has caused me a few problems over the years because some employers can’t understand the difference between agreeing with something and agreeing to do something.

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Diabetes UK Step Challenge

From July 1st until September 30th Diabetes UK are running a step challenge to raise money for their cause.  There are three step targets to choose from; 500k, 1m, or 1.7m.  I’ve gone for the 1.7m target.  It’s a tough target but I’d rather set an ambitious goal.  Also, I have some time off work during those three months to hammer out the steps.

If you’d like to follow my progress or make a donation, it can be done here.

Letters to Oana

If you missed it, Part 2 of the series Letters to Oana is now live.

Looking Back

**NEW** Part 14 of the Looking Back series is also live.

What I’m Doing

Listening: Silent Sun by Brandon Q. Morris (audible).

Watching: Invasion (Apple TV).

We’ve just finished the second season of Invasion.  It’s entertaining enough and easy to binge.  When we finished the last episode I went online to read about the show and I was surprised by how many people seem to hate the show.  It’s not a masterpiece, for sure, but it’s hardly the worst thing ever made as some people suggest.  

My main complaint about it is that it falls back on the laziest approach to creating drama; an annoying kid who doesn’t do what they’re told.  It’s such a lazy crutch to fall back on.  

When did you last watch a show or film with a child character that was well-rounded, believable, and not an annoying crotch goblin designed solely to create drama?

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Financial Update

Assets

Premium Bonds: £14,000.00.

Stocks and Shares ISA: £76,704.80.

Fuck It Fund: £346.75.

Pensions: £82,100.16.

Residential Property Value: £234,044.00. 

BTL Property Value: £151,029.00.

Total Assets: £558,224.71.

Debts

Residential Mortgage: £185,958.33. 

BTL Mortgage: £104,787.85.

Total Debts: £290,746.18.

Total Wealth: £267,478.53.

Our further advance on our residential mortgage has been completed.  We’ve used the funds to clear the decks a little and pay for some upcoming expenses.  Rates are still fairly low for us, so it seemed like a good opportunity.  This will almost certainly be the last further advance we complete on this mortgage.  

When the BTL sale completes our finances will look even more streamlined.  It will be nice not having to worry about how long it’s all taking.  

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I’m not that far from entering territory where my contributions to my investments are only having a minor impact, whereas compound growth does most of the heavy lifting.  I should be using up the last of this year’s ISA allowance in the coming months, and that should bring my balance within touching distance of £100k.  At that point, typical rates of growth should see the balance more than double by the time I’m fifty.

I’ll be adding to that ISA balance during that time, so the balance will probably be higher.  Like most FI followers I’m constantly running the numbers, but it seems the results are starting to come together and predict a FIRE date sometime around 46/47 years old.  This will not be full FI, but probably something like Barista FI where I do the odd bit of work here and there to provide some spending money.  I’d only need to work 8-10 hours a week at minimum wage to make this a reality.

Interest-Only

**The following sections, and the blog as a whole, are not advice or suggestions for how to manage your own mortgage and finances.  This is a rant.  Appropriate mortgage advice requires an understanding of your unique circumstances, beliefs, opinions, and finances.  Please do not act based on the information covered here.  If you want mortgage advice, seek a qualified professional.**

I overheard a conversation the other day that made me want to pull up a chair at the stranger’s table and set them straight.  The subject was interest-only mortgages and how he “wouldn’t touch that shit with a barge pole”.  The common perception of interest-only mortgages is that they are extremely risky and you will somehow end up worse off.  

While that can, and does, happen it’s not because of some underlying quality of IO.  Like with many things in life, IO is a tool that can be used for good or bad.  If you understand IO and are financially disciplined it can be an incredible force for financial stability.  In the wrong hands, it can lead to disaster.  

What is IO?

It’s a type of mortgage structure where you pay the interest accrued each month but you don’t make payments off the debt.  At the end of the mortgage term, the debt is repayable.  If you can’t pay the money back, the end result would be the sale of the property.  

The flip side of this coin is a repayment mortgage where you pay the debt back little by little over time.  The idea is that if you keep up with your contractual payments, you will clear the debt by the end of the mortgage term.

There is one major factor in all this that is ignored is inflation, which is the primary method of repaying an IO mortgage.  

How Inflation Repays a Mortgage

Let’s assume inflation is running at 2%, the BoE target.  You have a mortgage of £100,000 on interest only.  Inflation will not change your mortgage debt.  £100k in 2024 will still be £100k in 2044, but the power of that money will be diminished.  What you could buy with £100k in 2044 will be less than what you could buy in 2024.

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If you follow this logic, you will see that accumulating £100k in a few decades will be much easier because of inflation.  As time ticks by, the value of that £100k will decrease.

I’m not saying that IO is right for everyone, or that it’s necessarily better than repayment in all situations.  The person claiming they “wouldn’t touch that shit with a barge pole” just got my back up.  

For owner-occupiers, and those with a family, it makes sense that the default mortgage would be on repayment.  Demonising IO is just ignoring a lot of context.

That’s all for this week.  I hope you have a great week ahead.  Please remember to like, share, comment, subscribe, and donate if you haven’t already done so.    

Disclaimer

The previous sections, and the blog as a whole, are not advice or suggestions for how to manage your own mortgage and finances.  This is a rant.  Appropriate mortgage advice requires an understanding of your unique circumstances, beliefs, opinions, and finances.  Please do not act based on the information covered here.  If you want mortgage advice, seek a qualified professional.  

The views and opinions in this blog are my own, and do not represent the views or opinions of my employer, nor should they be considered advice.  

If you want personalised financial advice, seek an appropriate professional.  If you are in financial difficulty, seek advice via the resources below:

StepChange

MoneyHelper

Biolink 

You can now find all my social media pages by checking out my Biolink:

bio.link/davidscothern.

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Looking Back: Part 14

Originally published January 30th, 2020.

Introduction

Hello and welcome back to Mortgage Advisor on FIRE.  This week I will be looking at Fear Setting and how this can complement Goal Setting, as well as discussing my ongoing health problems. 

Weekly Update

In the latter part of 2019, I was undergoing physio for Achilles tendonitis in my left leg.  On the instruction of my physiotherapist, I was completing some basic stretches and the result was a series of fractures through my right foot. 

After several scans and appointments with a surgeon, it was discovered that some of the bones in my right foot had not separated as they should have when I was born.  So, as the foot was under pressure, stress fractures occurred.  This knocked me sideways and it was the worst pain I’ve ever experienced.  I even lost consciousness and collapsed in A&E whilst waiting to be seen. 

This was not fun. I can’t emphasise just how bad the pain was.

​After a few weeks of rest, my foot recovered, but throughout this, my left Achilles was still causing pain and discomfort.  A few days ago, for lack of a better way of putting it, my Achilles “went”.  I can barely put weight on my leg and am using crutches to hobble around my apartment.  I’m also back on tramadol as it’s the only pain relief that makes a difference. 

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All this means that I’m off work again, which sucks.  I just need a break, not literally speaking.  Since 2018 it has been one health problem after another.  In addition to seeing a surgeon about my Achilles, I’m being referred to my cardiologist due to losing consciousness again.

Financial Update

Premium Bonds: £12,450 (no change from last week).

Stocks and Shares ISA: £8,219.00 (down £32.23 from last week).

F**k It Fund: £1,511.85 (no change from last week).

Property Value*: £173,501 (no change from last week).

Total Assets: £195,681.85 (down £32.23 from last week).

Credit Card Debt: nil (no change from last week).

Loan Debt: £3,370.33 (down £200 from last week).

Mortgage Debt: £134,279.11 (no change from last week).

Total Debt: £137,649.44 (down £200 from last week).


Total Wealth Figure**: £58,032.41 (up £167.77 from last week).

Investment Income in 2020: £0.00 (no change from last week) (Target £2,000)

*Valued at £173,501 according to the lender’s index.

**Total assets minus total debt

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It has been one of those weeks where I haven’t moved any money into investments, but I have been able to make an extra payment towards my loan.  As such, my total wealth figure has increased despite my total assets decreasing slightly in value. 

Fear Setting

I wanted to take some time to discuss a concept I first discovered a few years ago called Fear Setting. Almost everyone must be familiar with goal setting in general, even if they do not know about things like SMART (specific, measurable, achievable, realistic and timely) goals. 

Goal setting relates to what you want to happen or what you want to achieve.  The idea is that setting a goal helps solidify the behaviour change needed to achieve the goal.  There is some debate in the field of psychology as to whether goal setting is effective.  I also have some doubts over the effectiveness of setting ends as a goal, rather than a process. 

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For example, you could set a goal that you want to lose 50kg in a year.  This would be an “end” goal because you are aiming for a specific result.  You could instead set a goal that you will eat five fruit and veg portions each day and limit yourself to one bar of chocolate a day.  This is more of a behavioural goal, with the idea being that if you stick to the behaviour, the “end” will come as a result of the behaviour. 

In recent years I have adopted a hybrid approach to goal setting, where I am trying to focus more on the process than the result.  This has led to my investment behaviour becoming almost automatic.  Fear Setting is something that lit a fire under me, and I believe it has much more motivational potential than simple goal setting alone.  I think that Fear Setting is a great way to kick start a new set of behaviours and that process-goal setting is an excellent way to maintain those behaviours.

What is Fear Setting?

I first came across Fear Setting when I watched a TED talk by Timothy Ferris.  The video goes into a lot of detail but there was one specific part which resonated with me, and it’s something which encapsulates the entire point of Fear Setting.  I’m talking about the cost of inaction. 

Since I’ve become aware of this, I become increasingly frustrated when I see inaction, well, in action. My brain is wired in a fairly logical way. If something is going wrong, I tend to jump directly into problem-solving mode. When I see other people confronted with a difficult choice or situation, and they choose to do nothing because they think that will make the problem go away it is almost physically painful.

Inaction is a choice. Imagine you are in a car on a train crossing. Your car has broken down and you see a train fast approaching. The choices are to try and get the car moving, or escape the vehicle. Doing nothing is also a choice, but not one that will yield a good result. Some things in life happen whether we take control or not. The obvious one is ageing. We all age.

Another example of this is someone who always wanted to study a specific subject but feels put off now because they will be fifty years old when they graduate. The thing is, whether they study or not they will still be fifty at the same point in the future. The inexorable march of time can’t be stopped.

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When you set a goal, you must take some action to achieve that goal.  Granted, you could have an abstinence goal which requires you to refrain from a behaviour, but I would suggest exercising willpower and restraint is a form of action, rather than inaction.  Fear Setting asks you to consider the cost of inaction; the impact on your future if you change nothing. 

I know a lot of people who are unhappy with their lot in life.  The frustrating thing is that when I ask what they are doing to change or improve their situation, I am answered with a shrug.  There is a quote that is often credited to Albert Einstein but there is some debate over the accuracy of that credit, but the quote is still powerful: “insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result.”

If there is something you are unhappy about in your life, ask yourself where you will be in six months, three years or five years if you carry on as you are.  Does the answer please you, or upset you?

Fear Setting and FI

My journey to FI. was prompted in large part by the answers I had to the Fear Setting questions.  Life is too short and unique for regrets.  I do not believe in any sort of afterlife.  I believe this is it.  We are born, and then we simply keep ourselves busy until we die.  Spending your adult life doing things you don’t like is tragic.  I’m not saying that everyone can be a winner, a millionaire, or happy for the rest of their lives.  What I am saying is that the only things you can control are your thoughts, feelings and (to some extent) your actions.  Small changes now can have a big impact on later outcomes. 

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​I feel that I wasted a large part of my life so far.  I look back at my 19th to 23rd years and get so frustrated at wasting that time, but I had to go through that difficult time to get to where I am now.  There are a lot of positives to my life.  I am financially comfortable.  I have great parents.  I have a girlfriend whom I love very much.  I have a cat who, in the year I’ve had him, has brought so much joy and fun to my life.  I have a few friends whom I respect and value greatly.  Despite all this, I feel unfulfilled. 

Motivation for Change

For almost my entire adult life I have felt stuck in second gear, like I have more to offer but no outlet for it.  As we live in a capitalist society, money is the key to survival.  I need money because money is what buys my freedom to choose, and with my freedom to choose comes my ability to sink or swim on my terms.  When I asked myself where I would be in six months, a year, or even ten years down the line if I didn’t change anything, the answer was terrifying.  I don’t want to be that person who is just killing time until death.  

Video on Fear Setting.

Financial Education

I’ve said many times that there is not enough financial education in the UK.  In school, children will learn about many interesting things of which only a small fraction will have real-world relevance.  I’m not one of those people who will say we shouldn’t teach photosynthesis, Shakespeare or the water cycle because hardly anyone will use it when they are older. 

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As much as I believe we need to do more for children concerning financial education, I don’t think it should be at the expense of any one subject in school. Although having money is generally seen as a positive thing, learning about money is often seen as dry or dull to study. There needs to be a change in attitude or else the next generation, and the one after, will just keep repeating the same mistakes.

Rather than just lecturing children there needs to be a more collaborative approach. If children are told to do something by teachers, most of the time they’ll want to do something different. It’s a fine line between teaching kids to be money obsessed and teaching them to wield money as a useful tool to a good life.

Final Notes

Thank you for reading again this week.  Fingers crossed that no major typos or leaps in logic were present, considering I’m high as a kite on pain medication as I type this.

Part 248: Why The Boring Middle is Actually Exciting

Hello and welcome back to Mortgage Advisor on FIRE.  This week I discuss The Boring Middle.  Also, I celebrate five years without gambling. There are the usual financial updates, and some thoughts around idiots on social media.

Weekly Update

Last Sunday was the first time our new cleaner came to work in our apartment.  She did a good job and is friendly and chill.  We will be employing her again to help take some of the pressure off.  Sometimes you just need a little help to give yourself breathing space, and it’s one of those things that is worth the money.

I had an appointment with a consultant about my pancreas on Tuesday, the result of which is I need another CT scan.  Also, there are some possible issues with my liver which I need to address.  It would be great to get a run of good health going, but that doesn’t seem to be possible.  I have my CT scan this coming Tuesday.

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If anyone reading this is good with Macbooks, I could use some help.  I’m having a bit of trouble with the storage on my Mac.  It has just over 200GB, but almost 90GB is being used by “Applications”.  

I don’t have many apps on the device, as I use the Mac almost entirely for browsing, writing, and spreadsheets, and much of that is cloud-based.  I’ve gone into the app menu to check the file size of the ones installed and it doesn’t come anywhere close to the total figure being used.

I had a chat with the tech people online but they couldn’t work it out, so I have an appointment at the store to speak with someone in person.  To save me a trip to the mall and all that entails, I’m hoping someone here can help.  I’ve googled the issue and the solutions people mention to this may as well be written in some form of Elvish for all I can understand.

US Election

A few weeks ago I predicted that one of, or possibly both, Trump or Biden would drop out of the Presidential race.  I was almost right about Trump; the Republican party might be dumb but even they wouldn’t put a corpse up for election.  As for Biden, it’s the right thing to drop out.  The man has given decades of his life to public service.  It’s time for him to rest and spend time with his family.  There’s no shame in getting older.  

It’s going to be interesting to see how the US election turns out.  Trump is still the favourite but the odds appear to be swinging towards Kamala Harris.  My preference is pretty much anyone but Trump.  He’s a special kind of stupid, and that stupidity in combination with the power he could wield as President is a dangerous thing.  I don’t know enough about Kamala to express an opinion.  She comes across well but I don’t know anything about her policies or beliefs.

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Global Happiness

The other night Oana and I got talking about happiness.  This was all linked to the concept of “adulting” and how it feels like we have less and less time as we get older.  Back in the day, the typical family had one income, with the other adult being the homemaker.  Now, a typical family requires two incomes and even that is not always enough.  This means that running the household takes a backseat, and people become stressed as chores pile up around them.

So, we started talking about happiness in a general sense and asked the question, “Are people becoming more, or less, happy?”  We agreed that there are different types of happiness and, as a result, it’s a difficult question to answer.  In general terms, people in the UK have more access to shelter, food, information, and entertainment than they did a few decades or centuries ago.  This has come at the expense of other types of happiness, like being able to connect to other people without a device being in the middle.  

Happiness or Contentment?

Another type of happiness is deeper, more fundamental, and is centred on whether people feel content with their overall life.  I suppose you could call this life satisfaction.  An old sci-fi show posed four questions about life to get you thinking about your purpose and happiness; 

What do you want? 

Who are you?

Why are you here?

Where are you going?

If you ask yourself these questions and are not happy with the answers, then it would suggest something needs to change.  It’s difficult to think about these existential questions when you are worried about your next meal or keeping your home warm.  

After googling this, it would seem that the consensus is that in the US and Europe, young people are becoming less happy.  I don’t think this is surprising considering the world is burning, there are complete idiots in power, and it’s difficult for many to afford anything other than basic survival.  

When people talk about depression, many others will assume that depression is the opposite of happiness.  I don’t think it is.  Depression can be the opposite of fulfilment.  I don’t believe we were born with a purpose in mind, i.e. a higher power having a plan for us. 

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However, I do think the key to a fulfilled life is to find your purpose and follow where it leads.  It’s a process of discovering who you are, and how you can leave the world a better place than you found it.  Who are you?  What do you want?  Why are you here?  Where are you going?

Online Negativity

I like to believe that people are, in general, good.  However, I only have to spend a few minutes on Facebook to start questioning that belief.  Oana took an extended break from social media; I can’t remember exactly how long but might have been a couple of years (since I wrote this Oana has told me it’s been three years).

Anyway, she recently returned to social media under her new name and it’s allowed her to reconnect with some old friends.  That’s one positive aspect of social media.  The negative aspect can be exemplified by what happened when she posted some pictures of Sheffield and how it’s improving with lots of regeneration going on.  

The group she posted in, Sheffield through a camera, is seemingly full of people who hate Sheffield.  They greet posts with replies such as “dump” and “You haven’t looked around Pitsmoor [an area considered a bit rough and ready] have you?”

The reply that made me chuckle was, “You’ve obviously not travelled much.”  Let’s see, at last count, Oana has travelled to dozens of countries on five continents.  It’s like some people have one setting and it’s angrymad.

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I asked this question on the group and didn’t get a coherent response; “Why would you join a group called Sheffield through a camera and then do nothing but bitch about the city?”

Restaurants

On Friday, after finishing work, Oana and I went for a walk about the area and decided to pop into a new restaurant that’s opened.  It’s a spin-off from an Indian restaurant we’ve eaten at once before.  When we entered, one table was occupied, and they’d not had their menus yet (they were handed out later).  

We were shown to our table and then left to wait.  And wait.  Whilst we were waiting, other tables were seated, had their orders taken, and were served drinks.  We were still waiting and so we left.  This was not a massive restaurant; one room with maybe ten tables.  

B’reyt Dough

It was early evening and really nice out so we walked a bit more and decided to try a new pizza place that’s opened in our neighbourhood.  The food was decent.  We ordered a few things to share; a pizza with nduja and salami, a caprese salad, seasoned fries, and garlic bread with cheese.

The food was good and we ate it all.  It just wasn’t memorable or different to any other Neapolitan pizza place.  We ordered a dessert to share, an Oreo tiramisu, and it wasn’t great.  The service was excellent though; friendly, attentive, but not forced.  It felt genuine.  

Finding a restaurant that maintains high standards of quality is so difficult.  I acknowledge that I’m a bit of a food snob, and Oana will admit the same, but we’re not total assholes.  I think our biggest complaint is when places claim to be authentic but are anything but.  For example, we tried an Italian restaurant a few years back that claims to have authentic produce from Italy which forms the heart of their menu.  

This was hard to believe when we saw the staff emptying a large vehicle of Tesco shopping bags filled with ingredients.  We also came down with food poisoning from this restaurant, but that’s a story for another time.

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Five Years

This week saw me hit five years since I last gambled.  I’ve mentioned a few times how I struggled with gambling addiction, but I have turned a corner and this is by far the longest I’ve gone without gambling.

When I was at my lowest point with this addiction I knew I needed something different to help break the cycle.  I had given up gambling for months at a time before, but I ended up falling into bad habits.  I had an extra source of support this time, in the form of a podcast from Jamie Salsburg in the US.  He is also a recovering gambling addict and he started The After Gambling Podcast which I smashed through his back catalogue pretty quickly whilst working out.  

I know it has taken a lot of willpower to stay away from gambling this long, but I can’t give Jamie enough credit for his podcast which changed my life.  I had a video call with him a couple of years ago and he’s a great guy with many good ideas about improving the industry and protecting people from harm.  Anyone struggling with this addiction would do well to listen to his content. I’ve linked to his site in the image below:

There wasn’t much time between me stopping gambling and starting my FI journey in earnest.  The two things are definitely linked.  Had I not stopped when I did, I know that my finances would be a mess.  Another point, which is not widely known, is that problem gambling has the highest rate of suicide from behavioural addictions.  Some studies suggest it may have the highest rate of suicide among all addictions.  

The Silent Killer

The problem with gambling is that it can be a silent killer.  If someone has a substance addiction there are normally obvious signs.  Someone struggling with their gambling may seem distracted and stressed, but that doesn’t only point to gambling.  

It might sound dramatic to some but I believe the gambling industry is evil.  The more I find out about it, the more convinced of this I am.  The overwhelming majority of their profits come from vulnerable people with addictions they can’t overcome.  These companies spend a small fortune on making their products as addictive as possible, and the behaviour of their VIP Reps is abhorrent.  

The myriad issues with the gambling industry could fill a book, and so they have in the phenomenal work by Rob Davies, Jackpot: How Gambling Conquered Britain.

If you are reading this and struggle with problem gambling, please feel free to reach out, or speak with a medical professional.  There is help out there and this addiction can be defeated.  There’s no shame in needing a helping hand.  

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Diabetes UK Step Challenge

From July 1st until September 30th Diabetes UK are running a step challenge to raise money for their cause.  There are three step targets to choose from; 500k, 1m, or 1.7m.  I’ve gone for the 1.7m target.  It’s a tough target but I’d rather set an ambitious goal.  Also, I have some time off work during those three months to hammer out the steps.

If you’d like to follow my progress or make a donation, it can be done here:

https://step.diabetes.org.uk/fundraising/david4047

Letters to Oana

If you missed it, Part 2 of the series Letters to Oana is now live.

Looking Back

Part 13 of the Looking Back series is also live.

What I’m Doing

Listening: Turning Forty by Mike Gayle.

Watching: Invasion (Apple TV).

Mike Gayle is a cracking author.  His books pack an emotional punch and he can write compelling characters.  Turning Forty came up on the Audible Plus catalogue so I gave it a listen.  It was typical Mike Gayle; funny, emotional, with a great supporting cast of characters, but in a twist his main character was a bit of an entitled asshole.  It made for an interesting story but you were just waiting for the protagonist to get punched in the face.  

We’ve started a new show on Apple TV called Invasion.  It’s about an alien invasion but it doesn’t take the typical route of telling the story.  Instead, it’s following an ensemble cast in different parts of the world as they try to make sense of what’s going on around them.  The first few episodes were slow going, but around episode four it started to pick up.  It’s probably not going to be one of my all-time favourites, but it’s entertaining enough.  

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Support Mortgage Advisor on FIRE

If you would like to show your support for my blog please comment, like, share, and subscribe.  All these things help the blog to grow.  If you want to make a financial contribution towards the running costs of the site, please use the donation form. below:

Financial Update

Assets

Premium Bonds: £14,000.00.

Stocks and Shares ISA: £78,368.10.

Fuck It Fund: £345.97.

Pensions: £79,699.39.

Residential Property Value: £234,044.00. 

BTL Property Value: £151,029.00.

Total Assets: £557,486.46.

Debts

Residential Mortgage: £171,817.53. 

BTL Mortgage: £104,851.17.

Total Debts: £276,668.70.

Total Wealth: £280,817.76.

It doesn’t matter in the big picture but I was a bit annoyed that my pension dipped back below £80k.  It must only be a matter of weeks now until my ISA and pension are comfortably above £80k, which was what I’d hoped to hit by the end of 2024.

BTL Update

The solicitors acting for our buyers seem to be asking more detailed questions than ours did when we bought the property.  It’s frustrating as a seller, but I can’t complain as it’s the sensible way to buy property.  There are some more documents I need to provide and I’m hoping that will be the end of the legal work and we can exchange and complete.  

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The Boring Middle: When does it start?  When does it end?

In one of our regular conversations about FI, a good friend of mine posed this question; “When does the boring middle end?”

The Boring Middle is what we call the bulk of the FIRE journey.  It’s the long struggle of investing month in, month out, whilst you accumulate your funds.  The first stage of any FI journey is exciting as it’s new and you’re learning all these strategies and whatnot.  You hit milestones quickly as you see your net wealth double rapidly, as you go from £100-£200, and then £1,000-£2,000.  Later on though, daily gains or losses of £1,000 don’t even register.  It’s amazing how quickly we become desensitised to it.

So, when does the boring middle end?  The key to answering this starts with another question; when does the boring middle start?

I don’t think this is a question that has a single correct answer.  I think much of it is related to mindset.  The best definition I can come up with is that the boring middle starts when you have accumulated enough funds to support one year of living, i.e. your annual cost of living is £24,000 and you have saved £24,000.  It’s arbitrary, but it’s my blog.  

Working out where it ends is trickier though.  As my friend and I discussed this, we were thinking about what the end of the road looks like.  Conventional FI assumes you accumulate 25 times your annual cost of living, and then draw down 4% p/a to support yourself.  You could get to 23 times and have a storming year in the market which then takes you to 27 times what you need for a year.  The flip side of the coin is you could be at 24 times your FI number and then experience a major crash.  

It may be that identifying where the boring middle ends can only happen after the event. 

The Exciting Middle

If we assume that the typical FI journey starts with an Exciting Beginning, followed by a Boring Middle, and then FIRE, it’s difficult to separate the middle from the end.  The end isn’t a phase; it’s, well, the end.  So, I am proposing a new structure;

Start -> Boring Middle -> Exciting Middle -> FIRE

The first phase lasts until you have accumulated a year’s worth of savings.  Then, the boring middle lasts as long as you are contributing more to your investments than what you are gaining through growth.  The exciting middle kicks in as soon as compound growth outstrips what you are investing from your funds.  Finally, you hit FI when you have accumulated the required funds.  

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The important thing here is that reframing the same event or process can change how you feel about it.  Rather than getting frustrated at being in the boring middle, we should acknowledge how incredible it is when your investments are compounding at a rate you can’t keep up with.  This is what we are all working towards.  We’re all trying to get that snowball rolling downhill, and when that happens we should celebrate it like the milestone it is.  

Looking at my situation I’m not sure whether I’m in the boring or exciting middle.  I haven’t tracked how much I’ve contributed to my investments, so I don’t know what has come from growth and what has come from my funds.  It might be something I start tracking in future, but I’m going to wait until the BTL is sorted first. 

Final Notes

Thanks for reading, and I hope you have a great week ahead.  If you have any thoughts or opinions on this post, please leave a comment.  Also, please remember to like, share, and subscribe.

Disclaimer

The views and opinions in this blog are my own, and do not represent the views or opinions of my employer, nor should they be considered advice.  

If you want personalised financial advice, seek an appropriate professional.  If you are in financial difficulty, seek advice via the resources below:

StepChange

MoneyHelper

Biolink 

You can now find all my social media pages by checking out my Biolink:

bio.link/davidscothern.

Part 247: Borrowing from your Future Self, and the Impact of Climate Change on FI.

Hello and welcome back to Mortgage Advisor on FIRE.  This week I discuss the relationship between FI and climate change.  Also, why debt is borrowing from your future self, and how it can be useful in the right circumstances.

Weekly Update

Euro 2024

The best team won and it is that simple.  The Spanish were head and shoulders above us through the match and the tournament.  I was struck by how composed the Spanish team was compared to us.  When Spain moved forward they seemed in control.  When we attacked we were snatching at chances and it all felt a bit desperate.  Our play was static and lacking motivation, not just in this game but for much of the competition.  We got to another final, and that’s a great achievement. However, we need more quality to push on to the next level.

For a long time, it has felt like we have picked a group of individuals to play for England rather than building a team.  We can go back to Lampard and Gerrard in the same midfield with Scholes moved out wide. We can even go back to playing Rooney and Owen as a partnership.  

In future, we should build a team around our best attacking players, and select the players who will complement that system rather than trying to fit square pegs in round holes.

Despite the result, we had a good time watching the match.  We were going to watch it at my Dad’s place on his massive flatscreen but he was not feeling too good, so Oana and I went to a local Mexican bar and restaurant, Pina.  It was a cool atmosphere and not too busy.  A couple of things annoyed us, such as the price against the quality of food.  A portion of three tacos at Street Food Chef is £8ish.  At Pina, three tacos are between £14-£16, and they’re not as good as Street Food Chef.  

It used to be the case that Pina did the best tacos in Sheffield, but in the last couple of years their quality has dropped and their prices have increased.  It’s not a great combination.

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The main thing that bugged me, though, was to do with the cleaning of the tables.  A member of the staff came to the table next to us and sprayed the bottle of cleaning liquid all over the table, which caused a cloud of the cleaning product to settle on my right arm and the right side of my face. 

Not the best experience when you’re in a restaurant, but fortunately our food had not yet been served or it would have been coated in this chemical mist.  It’s not rocket science and good restaurants normally instruct their staff to point the spray away from customers or, ideally, spray the bottle into the cloth and then use that to wipe down. 

We used to love Pina but I suspect this was our last visit.

US Election

Well, shortly after my last post went live it seems someone took a shot at Trump.  It’s a strange one because I think the world would be better without him, but I wouldn’t generally support assassination unless it was the direst of situations.  As I’ve thought about it more, my opinion shifts back and forth.  I think Trump, in addition to being a horrible human being and an all-around piece of shit, is an active danger to society.  His “leadership” during Covid was embarrassing.  

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I doubt we’ll ever know how many people died because of his stupidity, but I don’t think it’s a low number.  He is volatile and not the sort of person you want to defuse a situation.  His whole shtick sets people against each other and promotes batshit crazy beliefs.  The world would be a better place without Trump in it, but shooting him in the head isn’t an optimal solution.

One thing I will say about Trump is that he knows how to work the media, and the picture of him pumping his fist in defiance will be one of the defining images of the century.  The missed gunshot and the following camera shot have just secured a landslide victory for Trump, and it’s so frustrating.

Deep Fakes

I saw something on Facebook where our Prime Minister, Sir Kier Starmer, was alleged to have been on a morning television show promoting a new investment platform.  The app was reported to offer massive returns.  At this point, my bullshit detector was going into overdrive.  The thing is, the story was backed up by some fairly realistic images and video, but it was obviously a deep fake.  

Now, I use the word “obviously” but it’s not going to be obvious to all people.  Some people are drawn in by these deep fake scams and go on to lose money.  We can talk all day long about how people should know better, but not everyone has the opportunity to know better.  There are several ways to assess society and one of those methods is to take a good look at how the most vulnerable in that society are cared for and protected.  

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It’s not going to be too long until the technology to produce convincing deep fake videos is freely available, just like photo editing software and large language models are usable as apps on a smartphone.  When that happens it’s going to be a free for all.

As the saying goes, a lie can travel halfway around the world whilst the truth is putting on its shoes.  If a deep fake is produced showing someone saying something abhorrent you can bet that it will have been shared and commented on many times without anyone questioning if it’s actually real.  By the time the truth comes out, it will be too late.  People believe what they are told first and are resistant to changing that belief.  

I’m not sure what the answer is here, but it may be something along the lines of requiring all software that is legally available to have a feature built-in whereby the content it produces is watermarked or tagged in some way that makes it obvious it is fake.    

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Diabetes UK Step Challenge

From July 1st until September 30th Diabetes UK are running a step challenge to raise money for their cause.  There are three step targets to choose from; 500k, 1m, or 1.7m.  I’ve gone for the 1.7m target.  It’s a tough target but I’d rather set an ambitious goal.  Also, I have some time off work during those three months to hammer out the steps.

If you’d like to follow my progress or make a donation, it can be done here:

https://step.diabetes.org.uk/fundraising/david4047

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Letters to Oana

If you missed it, Part 2 of the series Letters to Oana is now live.

Looking Back

Part 13 of the Looking Back series is also live.

What I’m Doing

Listening: Nuclear War: A Scenario by Annie Jacobsen.

Watching: Five Days at Memorial (Apple TV).

I finished the Earthburst Saga by Craig A. Falconer, and it was enjoyable for the most part.  It wasn’t the most complicated of stories but it was entertaining.  I’m now on a book exploring the timeline of a nuclear attack on the United States, and their response to that attack.  I’m only about a third of the way in but so far it is interesting.  The narration, by the author, is a little irritating though. Each sentence ends as though she is asking a question rather than making a point, and it’s one of those things that, when you notice it, you can’t ignore it.

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Oana and I just finished a mini-series on Apple TV which tells the story of a hospital caught up in Hurricane Katrina, as it floods and loses power.  The show is based on real events and has all the high production values expected of an Apple TV show.  It was generally well made on the surface but I found it lacking in some respects.  The first few episodes deal with the storm and the last few deal with the fallout and investigation.  I would have thought this situation perfect for a flashback style with unreliable narration or seeing different versions of events as told by different witnesses.  

It also felt as though they left plot threads hanging without coming back to them as certain characters were built up and then seemingly forgotten about.  Some real-world events don’t lend themselves to dramatisation and I think this might be one of those.  A documentary might have been the better route to go down.

Support Mortgage Advisor on FIRE

If you would like to show your support for my blog please comment, like, share, and subscribe.  All these things help the blog to grow.  If you want to make a financial contribution towards the running costs of the site, please use the donation form. below:

Financial Update

Assets

Premium Bonds: £14,000.00.

Stocks and Shares ISA: £77,635.38.

Fuck It Fund: £345.97.

Pensions: £80,929.39.

Residential Property Value: £234,044.00. 

BTL Property Value: £151,029.00.

Total Assets: £557,983.74.

Debts

Residential Mortgage: £171,817.53. 

BTL Mortgage: £104,851.17.

Total Debts: £276,668.70.

Total Wealth: £281,315.04.

The numbers are looking healthier than at any time I can remember, but from next week it will take a bit of a hit.  By next week we will have completed a further advance on our mortgage to pay for a few things.  Ideally, we wouldn’t have done this, but it beats the other options we had on the table.  Manageable debt is not a bad thing, especially when the rate of interest is better than the costs of finance elsewhere.  It’s a temporary setback that will allow us to progress in other areas.

When the BTL sells my asset figure will drop by the value of the property, but the debt figure will drop by the mortgage amount.  The next few weeks are going to be a little like clearing the decks ready for the big push into 2025.  There are some other factors at play which I can’t go into on the blog, but if things go my way it could be an exciting end to this year and start to next year.

BTL Update

I keep thinking that the process must be complete by now, but it is still somehow rumbling on.  This week we paid £245 for the freeholder’s management company to send some documents in an email to our solicitor.  Considering this should be a few minutes of work I wonder what the person completing the task is being paid.  It just seems like an excuse to make an obscene amount of money. 

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FIRE, Moving Abroad, and Climate Change

The weather seems to be getting crazier each year.  The last few weeks have seen almost all four seasons of weather.  The annual mean temperature in the UK has increased by almost 2 degrees Celsius over the last century or so.  Climate change is happening and it’s just a case of how much and how soon.  

When I first started my FI journey the plan was to move to Romania where there’s a low cost of living, and where we have had lots of support from Oana’s family.  As I write this, on the evening of July 19th, Bucharest has had nine consecutive days of 40 degrees or more, with all but two days clocking in at 34 degrees or more. 

That’s too high to be comfortable outside of an air-conditioned building.  The generally accepted temperature at which a person would start to struggle and eventually die following prolonged exposure is a wet-bulb temperature of 35 degrees. (A wet-bulb temperature is when a thermometer is wrapped in a wet cloth).

With this in mind, many parts of the world are already experiencing sustained periods of heat above 35 degrees.  Valletta, Malta’s capital, has exceeded this temperature nine times in July so far.

As well as considering Romania and Malta as possible future homes, we’ve thought about Spain and Portugal.  My concern is that soon, the weather is going to worsen to the point that for some hours of the day, it will be unsafe to be outside.  I’m not only thinking about now, but also when I’m in my 50s, 60s, and beyond.

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It’s frustrating when I discuss the climate with some people because they think it’s only a few degrees and there’s nothing wrong with a bit of warm weather.  These people completely ignore the fact that it only takes a couple of degrees to tip the balance of some ecosystems, and when they start to collapse it can be extremely difficult to reverse the damage.  

Part of me thinks that we’ll come up with a technological solution to all this, but an increasing part of me believes that by the start of the 22nd century, our world will be very different.  Even now there are parts of the United States where it’s going to become uninhabitable within the next twenty years or so.  Phoenix, AZ, is projected to endure almost fifty days of temperatures over 43 degrees each year.  For context, if a person’s internal body temperature hits 43 degrees it’s almost certain they will die.

As I read different FI blogs and forums, it seems like not a lot of people are considering climate change as part of their FI plans.  I think this is a huge mistake.  Oana and I talk about this regularly and we’re both scratching our heads at where we could realistically go where there’s a smaller risk of dangerous climate change.  Ultimately it may be delaying the inevitable because once the first domino is knocked over, they will all fall eventually.  

It might end up being the case that we stay in the UK, possibly moving further into the hills.  Or, the world could face a major global pandemic more deadly than Covid, which could see our population reduce massively.  All we can do for now is plan, prepare, and when we’re ready to FI, see what the situation is.

Debt: Borrowing from your Future Self

Debt is not inherently good or bad; debt is a description of you having received something with the promise to pay for it later.  This can be an advantage if you understand how to use debt, but many people fail at this.  

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A good friend of mine refers to debt as borrowing from your future self.  It doesn’t matter if you are paying interest or not on that debt, you are still getting something now that you pay for later.  You are committing your future self to repaying that money.  

For the odd thing here and there it can be a smart way to handle your finances.  For example, if you have a large purchase to make, like booking a holiday, you could pay for the whole thing on a credit card that has 0% interest on purchases for a year.  In the meantime, you save cash for the holiday and allow it to earn you interest.  Then, shortly before your interest-free period on the credit card expires you pay the debt off.  

This example requires discipline and the ability to delay gratification.  If you have trouble controlling your spending, this is not a sensible way to manage your finances.  It is, however, an example of how debt can be utilised to the advantage of the borrower.

How Lenders Make Money

At the opposite end of the spectrum, we have people who use credit cards in a way that only benefits the lender.  In the next example, we can look at a person who doesn’t have a lot of disposable income or savings.  They live beyond their means and rather than settling for a good smartphone, they have to have the latest top-of-the-range model.  The only way they can afford this is to buy it on credit.  They take out a card that offers 0% interest for 18 months and happily pay £1,499 for the latest model.

The typical minimum payment for a credit card is 2%-3% and assuming this person only pays the minimum payment, they’ll have approximately half the balance remaining at the end of the interest-free period.  However, the interest starts to build up and be included in the monthly payment.  What was £40-£50 coming directly off the debt, is now hardly touching the balance.  Depending on the terms and conditions of the card, the minimum payment may increase to include the interest plus 3% of the balance, or something similar.  

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In this situation, the person is left paying more each month. They have even less disposable income and will be stuck with this debt potentially for years to come.  This situation then snowballs. When the person can’t afford to pay an unexpected expense, they will have to fall back on their credit card.  Thus, the spiral worsens and it doesn’t take too long before the cost of just meeting the interest is taking up a substantial chunk of their monthly income.  

This person is paying the price for their past self not exercising restraint. They will be paying it for years to come; long after they’ve traded in that mobile phone for something newer.  

If you want to wield debt to your advantage you need to understand the rules of the game.

That’s all for this week.  Thank you for reading.  

Disclaimer

The views and opinions in this blog are my own. They do not represent the views or opinions of my employer. This blog should not be considered advice.  

If you want personalised financial advice, seek an appropriate professional.  If you are in financial difficulty, seek advice via the resources below:

StepChange

MoneyHelper

Biolink 

You can now find all my social media pages by checking out my Biolink:

bio.link/davidscothern.

Part 246: Rehoming, Buying a Home, and Football’s Coming Home, or is it?

Hello and welcome back to Mortgage Advisor on FIRE.  This week I discuss a few things relating to homes.  I talk about the local cat cafe rehoming their cats, and how people often make a mistake in buying a house jointly despite never living together.  Also, a few thoughts on the football, and all the usual financial updates. 

Weekly Update

After last week’s voting fiasco, Oana received an apology for being denied the opportunity to vote.  It’s still frustrating because it’s not like there’s anything that can be done to rectify the issue.  Elections only happen every few years so it’s not like she can be given anything to make up for it.  

This week has been stressful for me also, as I’ve had a few medical appointments that have led to further investigations being needed.  I was worried I had kidney stones again as some of the symptoms have been present but the scans have shown nothing wrong with my kidneys.  However, there is something in my pancreas that they need to look at in more detail, so my urologist has referred me to a hepatobiliary surgeon.  Also, some blood tests have suggested that I might have a problem with my liver.

I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t worried but I’ll just have to wait for these appointments to come around.  I’ll be seeing the new consultant in just under two weeks.  I’ve no idea if I’ll need surgery or some other treatment.  The CT scan I had for the urologist detected some calcification and/or a stone in my pancreas, but I don’t really know what that means.

Some scary-sounding things can happen with the pancreas but then again you can put almost any search term into Google and it’ll come back as cancer, so it literally is just a case of wait and see.

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We’ve decided to look for a cleaner to work in our apartment a couple of hours each week to help us keep on top of things.  With us both working full-time and feeling short on time generally, it will be worth the expense.  Back in the day, it used to be that one person earned the money, and the other person managed the household.  Now, both people in a relationship have to work to afford to live, but all the normal chores still need doing.  

On Friday evening we had a chat with a woman who offered to clean for us.  She seemed nice and the three of us had a good laugh, and we’re going to employ her on a trial basis initially.  Hopefully, this will take some pressure off and allow us to concentrate on other things.  Sometimes being an adult just feels like work, housework, deciding what to have for dinner, sleep, and repeat.

Builders

For a couple of weeks, we’ve been woken up in the early hours of the morning by builders across the river from us working in an industrial yard.  Sometimes they’ll start working just before midnight.  There’s no actual construction going on there and it looks like they are just loading up on supplies.  This isn’t just a bit of noise from vehicles going back and forth; there are loud noises of machinery being used as well as many bright flashing lights.  

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We did some Google-fu and tracked down the company to find out what the situation was.  It appears they’ve been permitted to work overnight as they are working on a project that requires roads to be closed or something.  The company didn’t realise that there were residential buildings nearby.  Yeah, because the assortment of apartment blocks visible is not a solid indicator… Anyway, they apologised and said in future they will put signs up in the local area.

I don’t have a problem with building work taking place, but the uncertainty about what it is and how long it will go on for is the most stressful part.  I’m also bitter about this because it was unscheduled building work near an old flat of mine that led to my tinnitus.  

Euro 2024

The match against the Netherlands was entertaining, and it was a good performance from us for a change.  The penalty was, without doubt, the luckiest penalty decision I think I’ve ever seen.  I’m just taking it as a cosmic rebalancing after The Hand of God, Sol Campbell and Frank Lampard’s goals being ruled out, and many of the other times we’ve been screwed over by officials.  

Despite England getting to the final, it’s not been the best tournament overall.  In some ways, football is becoming less entertaining.  One of the biggest issues is VAR.  It’s no longer possible to just celebrate a goal as it could quickly be ruled out because a gust of wind blew the attacker’s hair a fraction ahead of the bald defender.  That’s not what offside was supposed to prevent.  I would keep offside as a rule but require a complete gap between attacker and defender for it to be offside, in the same way that the whole of the ball has to be over the whole of the line.  

On the subject of football, Sheffield Wednesday are going about their business well.  We are putting together a decent squad and this season could turn out quite positive.

Covid-19

Over the last week or so several people I know have come down with Covid-type symptoms.  It feels as though most people have just forgotten about the last few years.  The virus might not be as deadly as it was, but these things can change rapidly. 

I’m not suggesting we go back to lockdown or anything that drastic, but some of the common sense guidance seems to be getting ignored, like washing your hands after going to the bathroom or after sneezing.  There are also lots of people who just cough openly into the air without covering their mouths.  People have short memories.  

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Clean Air Zones

One of my hobbies is winding people up online.  Mature, I know.  Sometimes I can’t resist calling out stupidity though.  There are a few subjects that always bring out the idiots, including CAZs, and the development of the city centre.  

CAZs are areas where people are charged for using certain types of vehicles.  The area around Sheffield city centre is a Class C chargeable CAZ.  In short, it only applies to older, more polluting vehicles, and private cars and bikes are exempt for the most part. 

If you drive an older van, lorry, bus/coach, or taxi then you may be charged.  If you drive a 4×4 or SUV then you might be charged.  When you look at the numbers, the majority of vehicles are not charged because they meet the required standards.  

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However, as soon as the discussion starts about CAZ many people start banging on about it being a money-making scheme, and it not making sense to limit certain areas as pollution spreads outside the CAZ.  All of this misses the point that most vehicles are not charged, and the whole idea is designed to get people to switch to more environmentally friendly vehicles. 

I’ve not studied this, but I’m fairly confident that the people moaning about CAZ are the same people who will complain about being fined for speeding.  If you don’t want to be fined for speeding, don’t speed.

Regular readers will know my thoughts on car ownership; it’s expensive and often unnecessary.  The way in which some people are emotionally invested in the idea of car ownership is just bizarre.  I don’t understand it.  A car is a tool that spends the vast majority of the time parked up doing nothing.

Some people need their car but for many people, it’s a luxury or a convenience.  You will see people spend a few minutes getting out of their cramped parking space at home, drive a couple of hundred meters to their destination, to then spend five minutes trying to find another parking space.  It defies all logic.  

This isn’t an Old Man Yells at Cloud moment.  Road vehicles are responsible for a massive amount of carbon emissions and our climate is pretty much fucked.  We are already seeing the impacts of this and we need drastic action now to avoid complete disaster.  We need better public transport and we need less private car ownership.

Data from Gov.uk shows that a quarter of all car journeys in the UK are for one mile or less.  Some of these journeys will involve transporting heavy items or transporting people with limited mobility, but many of them will be people just getting in their car out of habit rather than just walking that short distance.

US Election

It’s looking almost certain that we are going to see that fucking clown back in the White House.  It’s bizarre how so many people buy into his bullshit, but then again millions of people voted for the Tory party led by Boris fucking Johnson.

I predicted a couple of weeks back that one of Trump or Biden would step down before the election, and I stand by that prediction.  I think it’s just a matter of time before Biden is replaced in the running, but it’s already too late.  

I don’t have anything against Biden.  He seems like a decent enough guy who has led a life of public service.  The thing is, he’s almost 82 years old and he’s clearly struggling.  There’s no shame in that, but if his family wanted to keep his dignity intact they need to convince him to take a step back.  

Assuming that the orange-faced small-handed semi-sapient dumpster fire takes office again, I dread to think what it means for the world.  It will set us back in terms of tackling climate change, future pandemics, and the war in Ukraine.  I really hope something happens and we see a sensible, thoughtful, and rational person become President of the United States.

Cats

It was recently announced that the cat cafe near us is closing down for a deep clean for the next few months.  As a result of this, all the cats are being permanently rehomed.  This has had a major impact on a lot of people, especially those who visit the cafe regularly and have become attached to the cats.  Some people have been going to the cafe for years and have seen some of those cats grow up.  If you’ve had that relationship with an animal for years, then it’s going to feel like losing a pet of your own.  

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Oana and I paid a visit to the cafe on Saturday to say goodbye to the ones we’ve become attached to; Olaf, Gomez, Ziggy, and others.  We fed them some chicken and gave them plenty of head scratches and chin rubs.  It was a little emotional saying our goodbyes but hopefully, they’ll be moving on to good homes.  

Diabetes UK Step Challenge

From July 1st until September 30th Diabetes UK are running a step challenge to raise money for their cause.  There are three step targets to choose from; 500k, 1m, or 1.7m.  I’ve gone for the 1.7m target.  It’s a tough target but I’d rather set an ambitious goal.  Also, I have some time off work during those three months to hammer out the steps.

If you’d like to follow my progress or make a donation, it can be done here:

https://step.diabetes.org.uk/fundraising/david4047

Letters to Oana

If you missed it, Part 2 of the series Letters to Oana is now live.

Looking Back

Part 13 of the Looking Back series is also live.

What I’m Doing

Listening: Earthburst Saga Book 9 by Craig A. Falconer (audible).

Watching: Euro 2024

Support Mortgage Advisor on FIRE

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Financial Update

Assets

Premium Bonds: £13,450.00.

Stocks and Shares ISA: £77,813.78.

Fuck It Fund: £145.97.

Pensions: £80,831.97.

Residential Property Value: £234,044.00. 

BTL Property Value: £151,029.00.

Total Assets: £557,314.72.

Debts

Residential Mortgage: £171,817.53. 

BTL Mortgage: £104,851.17.

Total Debts: £276,668.70.

Total Wealth: £280,646.02.

BTL Update

Things are still progressing but not as quickly as I’d like.  At this point, I think it’s just my impatience to get it all sorted.  We’ve had to pay some more money to obtain the pre-sale pack that includes all the leasehold information.  £245 for some documents to be attached to an email seems excessive, yet here we are.  

Buying a House: What to Avoid

Buying a house is a major milestone in life, and many people want to get on the housing ladder as soon as possible.  One common mistake people seem to make is buying a house with someone they have never lived with before.  Most of the time this is a partner, but it can also be friends buying together.  

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If you are in a relationship with someone and you’ve not lived together before, buying a house together will probably end badly.  I don’t care how much time you spend at each other’s place; until you live together you don’t know that person.  When you’re dating, you are still trying to put forward the best impression of yourself.  When you live together, standards slip.  Every burp, fart, toilet-punisher, and other disgusting habits will be new and a shock. 

People mask in the early stages of a relationship, and many people will be left wondering who they are living with.  The best way to avoid this is to rent somewhere together before buying somewhere together.  It’s much easier to walk away from an AST than it is to walk away from a mortgage.

When you sign up for a mortgage in joint names, it generally doesn’t matter who is paying the mortgage so long as it’s being paid.  To be blunt, no one cares if one person leaves and the other pays the mortgage on their own.  If you are named on the mortgage and the deeds, that’s basically all that matters.  Note: I’m not talking about unusual arrangements for buying properties or instances where people are subject to legal action/court orders; I’m talking about run-of-the-mill standard joint mortgages.

Before you sign on the dotted line for a joint mortgage you should ask yourself a few questions and be brutally honest with yourself.

Can you afford the mortgage payments on your own if it comes to that?

Are you willing to write off your credit rating for years to come if you end up defaulting on the mortgage?

Are you comfortable committing to this mortgage for the next few decades knowing that if you do split up, the mortgage could stop you from obtaining another mortgage or rental contract elsewhere?

Like with many financial concepts, it’s easier to explain all this with a few examples.

I’m going to use the fictional couple Adam and Eve, who are buying their first home together.  They are both first-time buyers, which comes with certain benefits when it comes to buying property.  They get a mortgage that is at the limit of what they can afford because they want it to be Instagram-ready.  After a few months of living together, Adam and Eve grow to resent each other.  Adam leaves rubbish all over the house, and Eve keeps the heating on too high.  Eventually, Adam has had enough and leaves.

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Adam feels that he shouldn’t have to pay anything because he’s moved out.  Eve feels that she should only have to pay half the mortgage as it is in joint names with Adam.  Unfortunately for them both, life doesn’t work that way.  

As months go by they have to sell the property at a loss, incurring another set of legal fees, agent fees, and so on.  They have both lost their FTB status and because they failed to meet the required monthly payments, they fell into arrears.  This will now follow them around for several years.

Although there is no such thing as a single, standard, credit score in the UK, there are several credit reference agencies that will keep a record of you.  Also, every financial institution you deal with will almost certainly have a profile on you which is used to help determine if you can access their products.  If you fall into arrears with a mortgage, it’s going to have an impact on your ability to obtain credit.  If you try to rent somewhere to live, it’s likely the agent or owner will complete a credit check.  You might not get the property you want and may have to settle for something less.

The above all assumes that the property is sold, but it doesn’t have to be.  I have a good friend who bought a property when he was much younger with his partner.  They subsequently split, and he left the house.  She stayed there for over a decade and only sporadically paid the mortgage.  This had a massive impact on my friend’s ability to get credit elsewhere, and his ability to get his own place.  His ex would not cooperate with his attempts to sell or come to an arrangement.  In the end, the property was repossessed.  This will follow both of them for years to come.  

So, the long and short of it is only buy a property with someone when you’ve already lived with them. Anything else is asking for trouble.

Further Advance

The recent increase in our apartment’s valuation has prompted Oana and me to look at a further advance.  There are a few things we want to get done, and we can secure funds at a fairly low rate of interest.  Within the next couple of weeks, we’ll hopefully have the cash, and that will see my debts increase.  It is what it is.  Debt isn’t necessarily a bad thing so long as it’s manageable.  

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That’s all for this week.  Thank you as always for reading, and I hope you have a great week ahead.  You never know, next week I may just be talking about England’s impressive win over Spain. 

Please remember to like, share, subscribe, and comment with any thoughts, questions, or feedback.

Disclaimer

The views and opinions in this blog are my own, and do not represent the views or opinions of my employer, nor should they be considered advice.  

If you want personalised financial advice, seek an appropriate professional.  If you are in financial difficulty, seek advice via the resources below:

StepChange

MoneyHelper

Biolink 

You can now find all my social media pages by checking out my Biolink:

bio.link/davidscothern.